Real Estate Investing in Providence Forge, Virginia (23140)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

New Kent County • Population: 7,533 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 23140 (Providence Forge, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (63/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Providence Forge, VA (23140)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $455,036
Avg Monthly Rent $1,665
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $98,900
% Renters 6.8%

Market Analysis: 23140 Providence Forge

The 23140 ZIP covers a section of Providence Forge that demands careful diligence. Prices near $455K look accessible, but the work to make a deal cash flow is real.

Rent of $1,665/mo on a $455K basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 23140 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.

Statewide comparisons place 23140 among VA's softer markets. That context does not make the ZIP uninvestable, but it does raise the bar for due diligence.

Resident income in 23140 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

Strategically, 23140 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Providence Forge:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 64/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
9/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.6× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+5.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,665/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Richmond, VA Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
31 days
Average time to sell
Average
11.4%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Richmond, VA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 23140

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
6.2% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+7.5% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$107,930/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $215,860 $1,850 6.2% +7.1% $107,930
3BR $360,131 $2,320 4.6% +6.7% $120,044
4BR $557,748 $2,850 3.7% +7.5% $139,437
5BR $630,769 +6.9% $126,154

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$473K$422K$370K$319K$268K$217KNov 2008Sep 2017Jul 2026

📊 How Does 23140 Compare?

Metric 23140 Providence Forge Richmond, VA Virginia
Home Value $455,036 $455,036 N/A $403,170
5-Year CAGR 5.3% 5.3% N/A 6.4%
Avg Rent $1,665 $1,665 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.9% 2.9% - -
💡 Why Invest in 23140? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 23140 (Providence Forge, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.9%
Low
5yr Growth
+5.3%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Richmond, VA metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
29%
Days Pending
0/2
31 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $455,036
Monthly Rent $1,665
Price-to-Rent 22.8:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.4%
Cap Rate 2.9%
5-Year IRR 8.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +5.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR +5.1% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.3% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.4% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.9%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.9%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
6.8%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.3%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 23140

Population: 7,533

💰 Median Household Income
$98,900
This area
$98,900
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
6.8%
This area
6.8%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.4%
This area
2.4%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
37.2%
This area
37.2%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
48.1 years
This area
48.1 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
6.8%
This area
6.8%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 60.3%
Black/African American 25.1%
Other/Mixed 13.0%
Hispanic/Latino 2.9%
Asian 1.6%
👶 Under 18
19.8%
This area
19.8%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
20.0%
This area
20.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
3.3%
This area
3.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

Do rentals sit vacant long in Providence Forge, VA?

Expect elevated vacancy in Providence Forge, VA. Rents at $1,665/mo are absorbed by the tenant base without meaningful lag.

Is Providence Forge in VA worth investing in?

Our data puts Providence Forge, VA at 3.0/5 for investability. Home prices of $455K and rents around $1,665/mo create a solid backdrop for investor activity.

Does house hacking make sense in Providence Forge, VA?

House hacking works a challenging in Providence Forge, VA. Rents of $1,665/mo against $455K acquisition make the strategy solid for owner-occupants.

Does Providence Forge, VA favor landlords or tenants?

Rental owners in Providence Forge, VA deal with a landlord-friendly legal framework. Most standard eviction processes run on reasonable timelines.

Are homes affordable in Providence Forge, VA?

Providence Forge, VA median home values land near $455K. That is reasonable territory for investors looking at $1,665/mo-per-month rentals.

You know 23140 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 23140 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 23140 ranks in Richmond, VA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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