Real Estate Investing in Timberville, Virginia (22853)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Rockingham County • Population: 4,876 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 22853 (Timberville, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (58/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Elevated vacancy: 8.2% vacancy may signal weakening demand.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Timberville, VA (22853)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $291,698
Avg Monthly Rent $1,134
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $64,043
% Renters 28.7%

Market Analysis: 22853 Timberville

From an investor standpoint, ZIP 22853 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $292K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

From an investor standpoint, the numbers look inviting — $292K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 22853 is substantial and deserves full respect.

Nearby ZIPs in Timberville have seen price recovery that 22853 has not matched. Rockingham County data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

A solid renter share of 29% in 22853 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

looks to the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Timberville:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 60/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.6× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+6.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,134/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Harrisonburg, VA Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
9.2%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Harrisonburg, VA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 22853

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
4.5% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+7.7% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$90,634/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
3BR $274,525 $1,700 4.5% +7.7% $91,508
4BR $362,538 $2,090 4.2% $90,634

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$304K$268K$232K$196K$160K$124KSep 2009Mar 2018Jul 2026

📊 How Does 22853 Compare?

Metric 22853 Timberville Harrisonburg, VA Virginia
Home Value $291,698 $291,698 N/A $403,170
5-Year CAGR 6.2% 6.2% N/A 6.4%
Avg Rent $1,134 $1,134 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.0% 3.0% - -
💡 Why Invest in 22853? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 22853 (Timberville, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.0%
Low
5yr Growth
+6.2%
Strong

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Harrisonburg, VA metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
48%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $291,698
Monthly Rent $1,134
Price-to-Rent 21.4:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.7%
Cap Rate 3.0%
5-Year IRR 9.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +6.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.6% ▲
5-Year CAGR +6.2% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
8.2%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+6.2%
Growing
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 22853

Population: 4,876

💰 Median Household Income
$64,043
This area
$64,043
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
28.7%
This area
28.7%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.3%
This area
4.3%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
14.1%
This area
14.1%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
42.1 years
This area
42.1 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
8.2%
This area
8.2%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 94.2%
Other/Mixed 5.1%
Hispanic/Latino 4.2%
Black/African American 0.5%
Asian 0.2%
👶 Under 18
20.9%
This area
20.9%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
19.1%
This area
19.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.8%
This area
5.8%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 22853

A Avg School Grade
1 Schools
14.9:1 Avg Class Size
$14,845 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

Plains Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
466 Students
👨‍🏫
14.9:1 Class Size
💰
$14,845 Per Student

Nearby Schools (3 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

A Very Good

J. Frank Hillyard Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
📍 226 Hawks Hill Drive, Broadway
👥
642 Students
👨‍🏫
12.0:1 Class Size
💰
$14,845 Per Student
A Very Good

John C. Myers Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 290 Raider Rd, Broadway
👥
482 Students
👨‍🏫
13.8:1 Class Size
💰
$14,845 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Broadway High

📚 09 – 12 High School
📍 269 Gobbler Dr, Broadway
👥
896 Students
👨‍🏫
13.1:1 Class Size
💰
$14,845 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby
C
Eastern Mennonite University
1,292 students · 14.0 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Does Timberville, VA make sense for an investment property?

With a 3.0/5 investability score, Timberville, VA ranks as a solid market for rental property investors. Median prices of $292K and rents of $1,134/mo drive the underlying numbers.

What is the average monthly rent in Timberville, VA?

Rent in Timberville, VA is around $1,134/mo. The resulting rent-to-value relationship with $292K pricing is reasonable for most investor models.

What investment strategy works best in Timberville, VA?

Most investors in Timberville, VA run a careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy. It aligns with the 3.0/5 investability profile and the market fundamentals.

Are landlord laws favorable in Timberville, VA?

Timberville, VA operates under VA law, which is landlord-friendly overall for landlords. Expect measured treatment in typical lease and eviction cases.

How high is vacancy risk in Timberville, VA?

Vacancy risk in Timberville, VA is elevated. That supports steady cash flow for typical rental holds.

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How 22853 ranks in Harrisonburg, VA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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