Real Estate Investing in Bowling Green, Virginia (22535)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Caroline County • Population: 602 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 22535 (Bowling Green, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (64/100)

Mixed — home prices are stretched relative to local incomes. Run the math on your specific situation.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 26.4 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Bowling Green, VA (22535)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $412,639
Avg Monthly Rent $1,305
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $73,711
% Renters 19.7%

Market Analysis: 22535 Bowling Green

ZIP 22535 inside Caroline County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $413K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 22535 reports the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

Within VA, ZIP 22535 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Caroline County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and impressive enough to shape underwriting.

Who lives in 22535 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

The 22535 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Bowling Green:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 65/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.6× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+23.8%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,305/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$438K$381K$323K$266K$209K$152KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 22535 Compare?

Metric 22535 Bowling Green Virginia
Home Value $412,639 $412,639 $403,170
5-Year CAGR 7.6% 7.6% 6.4%
Avg Rent $1,305 $1,305 -
Cap Rate 2.5% 2.5% -
💡 Why Invest in 22535? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 22535 (Bowling Green, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.5%
Low
5yr Growth
+7.6%
Strong

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $412,639
Monthly Rent $1,305
Price-to-Rent 26.4:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.8%
Cap Rate 2.5%
5-Year IRR 10.0%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +23.8% ▲
3-Year CAGR +8.1% ▲
5-Year CAGR +7.6% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
6.6%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+7.6%
Growing
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 22535

Population: 602

💰 Median Household Income
$73,711
This area
$73,711
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
19.7%
This area
19.7%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.7%
This area
1.7%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
44.6%
This area
44.6%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
45.4 years
This area
45.4 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
6.6%
This area
6.6%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 68.2%
Other/Mixed 24.3%
Hispanic/Latino 23.2%
Black/African American 7.5%
👶 Under 18
21.6%
This area
21.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
28.4%
This area
28.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.5%
This area
5.5%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

Do landlords face vacancy issues in Bowling Green, VA?

Bowling Green, VA vacancy trends elevated. Investors running standard buy-and-hold plays see reasonable downtime between tenants.

What kind of tenants rent in Bowling Green, VA?

Tenant demand in Bowling Green, VA is solid. The local workforce $1,305/mo rents across most rental classes.

What is the average monthly rent in Bowling Green, VA?

The typical rental in Bowling Green, VA commands about $1,305/mo monthly. That rent profile measured cash flow against the $413K purchase basis.

Can I house hack in Bowling Green, VA?

The house hack math a challenging in Bowling Green, VA. Owner-occupant buyers benefit from the $1,305/mo rents and $413K home values.

How do experienced investors play Bowling Green, VA?

For Bowling Green, VA, careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management is the standard investor playbook. The market structure makes it a reasonable default approach.

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