Real Estate Investing in Arlington, Virginia (22209)
Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.
Should you buy in 22209 (Arlington, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.
Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.
Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.
- High vacancy: 12.0% of homes vacant — above national norms.
- Flat appreciation: Values have barely moved over 5 years (0.6% CAGR).
What’s happening in Arlington, VA (22209)?
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Market Analysis: 22209 Arlington
Meanwhile, ZIP 22209 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $730K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.
Rent of $2,804/mo on a $730K basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 22209 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.
ZIP 22209's metrics run below Arlington County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.
The demographic picture in 22209 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Arlington averages, and tenant stability requires active management.
The 22209 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.
Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Arlington:
Property Strategy for 22209
Which property type performs best in this market?
📊 Compare All Property Types →
| Type | Median Value | Est. Rent | Cap Rate | 5yr CAGR | $/Bedroom |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1BR | $442,023 | $2,470 | 4.0% | +0.9% | $442,023 |
| 2BR | $818,883 | $2,750 | 2.4% | +1.0% | $409,442 |
| 3BR | $1,391,262 | $3,470 | 1.8% | +2.6% | $463,754 |
Market Trends
Home Value History (with trend line)
Rent History (with trend line)
📊 How Does 22209 Compare?
| Metric | 22209 | Arlington | Virginia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home Value | $729,517 | $739,441 | $403,170 |
| 5-Year CAGR | 0.6% | 1.5% | 6.4% |
| Avg Rent | $2,804 | $2,997 | - |
| Cap Rate | 3.0% | 3.1% | - |
Similar ZIPs Within 25 Miles
Compare other nearby markets to see if a neighbor offers a better fit.
Landlord Ground Truth
Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 22209 (Arlington, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.
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📊 Market Snapshot
| Home Value | $729,517 |
| Monthly Rent | $2,804 |
| Price-to-Rent | 21.7:1 |
| 1% Rule | ✗ Fails |
💰 Return Metrics
| Gross Yield | 4.6% |
| Cap Rate | 3.0% |
| 5-Year IRR | 3.6% |
📈 Home Appreciation
| 1-Year | +0.3% ▲ |
| 3-Year CAGR | +1.8% ▲ |
| 5-Year CAGR | +0.6% ▲ |
| 10-Year CAGR | +1.7% ▲ |
🏠 Rent Trends
| 1-Year | -0.8% ▼ |
| 3-Year CAGR | +0.8% ▲ |
| 5-Year CAGR | +2.5% ▲ |
The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.
Run an IRR Analysis →⚠️ Risk Signals
Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.
Demographics in 22209
Population: 13,725
Crime & Safety
Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon
We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.
Expected: Q1 2025
🎓 Schools in 22209
Schools in This ZIP Code
Nearby Schools (5 more)
Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area
MacArthur HS
Arlington Science Focus School
Hardy MS
Hyde-Addison ES
Innovation Elementary
About Repit School Scores
Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.
We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:
- Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
- School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
- Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
- School Environment — Size, type, and structure
Scores are updated annually using federal education data.
🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities
Frequently Asked Questions
How much rent can I charge in Arlington, VA?
Rent in Arlington, VA is around $2,804/mo. The resulting rent-to-value relationship with $730K pricing is reasonable for most investor models.
Are eviction rules reasonable in Arlington, VA?
VA law landlord-friendly for landlords, and Arlington inherits those rules. Investors should still review local ordinances for rental licensing.
Is real estate in Arlington, VA a good investment right now?
With a 2.0/5 investability score, Arlington, VA ranks as a solid market for rental property investors. Median prices of $730K and rents of $2,804/mo drive the underlying numbers.
Should investors worry about vacancy in Arlington, VA?
Occupancy in Arlington, VA runs even-keeled with elevated vacancy. Well-priced units at $2,804/mo lease on reasonable timelines.
What is the tenant pool like in Arlington, VA?
The renter base in Arlington, VA is reasonable for the $2,804/mo price point. Screening well and pricing to market typically yields stable tenants.
You know 22209 now. You don’t know where it ranks.
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How 22209 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
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