Real Estate Investing in Ashton, Maryland (20861)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Montgomery County • Population: 3,020 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 20861 (Ashton, MD)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (54/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 42.2 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Ashton, MD (20861)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $970,085
Avg Monthly Rent $1,917
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $175,250
% Renters 1.3%

Market Analysis: 20861 Ashton

This part of Montgomery County is not an easy win. The 20861 ZIP shows softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

Rent of $1,917/mo on a $970K basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 20861 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.

Within MD, ZIP 20861 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Montgomery County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and healthy enough to shape underwriting.

Employment concentration in 20861 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

The right play in 20861 usually involves deep tenant screening, aggressive delinquency response, and a conservative capex buffer. Anything less, and the discount can turn into a trap.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Ashton:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 54/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.5× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+0.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,917/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$1.0M$931K$847K$763K$678K$594KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 20861 Compare?

Metric 20861 Ashton Maryland
Home Value $970,085 $970,085 $424,997
5-Year CAGR 2.7% 2.7% 4.9%
Avg Rent $1,917 $1,917 -
Cap Rate 1.5% 1.5% -
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 20861 (Ashton, MD). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Montgomery County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

American Community Management provides community association management and HOA services across Maryland, Virginia, and D.C. summary from their website

HOA
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Iko Community Management provides HOA and community association management services in Columbia, MD and Suburban Maryland. summary from their website

HOA
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Melan Property Management delivers proactive property management solutions for multifamily and commercial real estate across Maryland, Washington D.C., and Miami. summary from their website

Small multifamilyCommercial
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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
1.5%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.7%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $970,085
Monthly Rent $1,917
Price-to-Rent 42.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 2.4%
Cap Rate 1.5%
5-Year IRR 4.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +0.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +1.8% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.7% ▲
10-Year CAGR +3.7% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 1.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (1.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
4.6%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.7%
Stable
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Moderate

Demographics in 20861

Population: 3,020

💰 Median Household Income
$175,250
This area
$175,250
State
$107,932
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
1.3%
This area
1.3%
State
23.8%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
6.7%
This area
6.7%
State
-20.0%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
72.3%
This area
72.3%
State
10.6%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
53.2 years
This area
53.2 years
State
1.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
4.6%
This area
4.6%
State
11.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 47.0%
Asian 18.6%
Other/Mixed 17.5%
Black/African American 16.9%
Hispanic/Latino 16.0%
👶 Under 18
18.0%
This area
18.0%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
29.2%
This area
29.2%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
7.0%
This area
7.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 20861

Nearby Schools (5 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

A+ Excellent

Fairland Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 14315 Fairdale Rd, Silver Spring
👥
566 Students
👨‍🏫
11.1:1 Class Size
💰
$20,473 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Cloverly Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 800 Briggs Chaney Rd, Silver Spring
👥
464 Students
👨‍🏫
12.3:1 Class Size
💰
$20,473 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Dr. Charles R. Drew Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 1200 Swingingdale Dr, Silver Spring
👥
466 Students
👨‍🏫
13.0:1 Class Size
💰
$20,473 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Sherwood Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 1401 Olney-Sandy Spring Rd, Sandy Spring
👥
520 Students
👨‍🏫
13.7:1 Class Size
💰
$20,473 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Stonegate Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 14811 Notley Road, Silver Spring
👥
549 Students
👨‍🏫
14.5:1 Class Size
💰
$20,473 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 5,730 Off-Campus Students
D
Maryland University of Integrative Health
646 students · 6.1 mi
C+
Yeshiva College of the Nations Capital
57 students · 7.4 mi
C
Howard Community College
8,540 students · 8.0 mi
C
Omega Studios' School of Applied Recording Arts & Sciences
74 students · 8.4 mi
C
Hair Expressions Academy
79 students · 8.6 mi
C
Lincoln College of Technology-Columbia
1,075 students · 8.9 mi
C+
Montgomery College
17,780 students · 9.2 mi
C
SANS Technology Institute
1,771 students · 9.5 mi

Investor Insight: With 5,730 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Where do home prices stand in Ashton, MD?

Homes in Ashton, MD typically sell near $970K. Prices have moved at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, which predictable long-term demand.

What does house hacking look like in Ashton, MD?

Ashton, MD offers a challenging house-hacking opportunity. Small multifamily or rent-by-the-room plays can pair well with the $1,917/mo rent level.

Is vacancy a concern in Ashton, MD?

Vacancy in Ashton, MD is elevated, which keeps landlord downtime on reasonable timelines. Most properties lease within the standard window at $1,917/mo.

How do landlord-tenant laws work in Ashton, MD?

Ashton, MD operates under MD law, which is landlord-friendly overall for landlords. Expect even-keeled treatment in typical lease and eviction cases.

How strong is Ashton, MD for real estate investors?

Ashton, MD shows an investability rating of 2.0/5, with median home values near $970K and average rents around $1,917/mo. That combination puts it in the robust tier for investor interest.

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How 20861 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

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