Real Estate Investing in Buffalo, New York (14202)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Erie County • Population: 3,764 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 14202 (Buffalo, NY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (39/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 12.0% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

What’s happening in Buffalo, NY (14202)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $572,207
Avg Monthly Rent $1,968
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $58,669
% Renters 73.2%

Market Analysis: 14202 Buffalo

On the rental side, ZIP 14202 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $572K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 14202 sits at the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

ZIP 14202's metrics run below Erie County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

Who lives in 14202 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. healthy returns are possible in 14202, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Buffalo:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 44/100
Affordability
0/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 9.8× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-0.9%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,968/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
24 days
Average time to sell
Fast
8.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 14202

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
2.0% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+4.3% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$249,144/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $498,288 $1,370 2.0% +4.1% $249,144
3BR $833,220 $1,670 1.4% +4.3% $277,740

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$610K$531K$452K$373K$294K$215KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,111$2,028$1,946$1,863$1,781$1,698Jan 2025Oct 2025Jul 2026

📊 How Does 14202 Compare?

Metric 14202 Buffalo Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY New York
Home Value $572,207 $237,084 N/A $505,608
5-Year CAGR 2.1% 5.8% N/A 6.6%
Avg Rent $1,968 $1,433 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.7% 4.7% - -
💡 Why Invest in 14202? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

73% of households rent in this area, creating consistent tenant demand for landlords.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 14202 (Buffalo, NY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.7%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.1%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $572,207
Monthly Rent $1,968
Price-to-Rent 24.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.1%
Cap Rate 2.7%
5-Year IRR 4.8%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -0.9% ▼
3-Year CAGR +0.7% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.1% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.7% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +5.8% ▲
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.7%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.7%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
12.0%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.1%
Stable
Eviction process: Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 14202

Population: 3,764

💰 Median Household Income
$58,669
This area
$58,669
State
$86,376
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
73.2%
This area
73.2%
State
26.4%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.0%
This area
4.0%
State
-24.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
43.2%
This area
43.2%
State
4.2%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
39.3 years
This area
39.3 years
State
7.4 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
12.0%
This area
12.0%
State
19.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 56.8%
Black/African American 26.4%
Other/Mixed 15.1%
Hispanic/Latino 13.5%
Asian 1.7%
👶 Under 18
11.9%
This area
11.9%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
15.1%
This area
15.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
15.4%
This area
15.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 14202

A Avg School Grade
4 Schools
11.8:1 Avg Class Size
$28,893 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

EMERSON SCHOOL OF HOSPITALITY

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
371 Students
👨‍🏫
8.8:1 Class Size
💰
$33,375 Per Student
A+ Excellent

WATERFRONT ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
771 Students
👨‍🏫
11.3:1 Class Size
💰
$33,375 Per Student
B Good

BUFFALO ACADEMY OF SCIENCE CHARTER SCHOOL

📚 K – 12 K-12 Charter
👥
904 Students
👨‍🏫
15.5:1 Class Size
💰
$15,448 Per Student
C+ Average

ERIE COUNTY DETENTION FACILITY

📚 09 – 12 High School Limited Data
👥
15 Students
💰
$33,375 Per Student

Nearby Schools (5 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

A+ Excellent

BENNETT PARK MONTESSORI SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
📍 342 CLINTON ST, BUFFALO
👥
600 Students
👨‍🏫
9.2:1 Class Size
💰
$33,375 Per Student
A+ Excellent

BUFFALO ACADEMY FOR THE VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS

📚 05 – 12 High School
📍 450 MASTEN AVE, BUFFALO
👥
575 Students
👨‍🏫
8.2:1 Class Size
💰
$33,375 Per Student
A+ Excellent

BUFFALO ELEMENTARY SCHOOL OF TECHNOLOGY

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
📍 414 S DIVISION ST, BUFFALO
👥
522 Students
👨‍🏫
10.3:1 Class Size
💰
$33,375 Per Student
A+ Excellent

BUFFALO SCHOOL OF CULINARY ARTS AND HOSPITALITY MANAGEMENT

📚 09 – 12 High School
📍 75 W HURON ST, BUFFALO
👥
434 Students
👨‍🏫
10.5:1 Class Size
💰
$33,375 Per Student
A+ Excellent

COMMUNITY SCHOOL #53

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
📍 329 ROEHRER AVE, BUFFALO
👥
459 Students
👨‍🏫
9.9:1 Class Size
💰
$33,375 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 3,856 Off-Campus Students
C
Erie Community College
7,618 students · 0.7 mi
C
Bryant & Stratton College-Buffalo
1,840 students · 0.7 mi
C
D'Youville University
2,544 students · 1.1 mi
D
National Tractor Trailer School Inc-Buffalo
211 students · 2.1 mi
C
Professional Culinary Academy
17 students · 2.3 mi
C+
Canisius University
2,545 students · 3.0 mi
C+
SUNY Buffalo State University
6,470 students · 3.2 mi
D
Trocaire College
1,104 students · 4.6 mi

Investor Insight: With 3,856 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the average home sale price in Buffalo, NY?

Typical homes in Buffalo, NY go for around $572K. The 5-year CAGR of 0.0% consistent price movement.

What is the best play in Buffalo, NY?

Buffalo, NY investors pursuing careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The underlying economics ($572K prices, $1,968/mo rents) make it a reasonable choice.

Is it easy to find good tenants in Buffalo, NY?

The renter base in Buffalo, NY is reasonable for the $1,968/mo price point. Screening well and pricing to market typically yields steady tenants.

Can I house hack in Buffalo, NY?

Buffalo, NY offers a challenging house-hacking opportunity. Small multifamily or rent-by-the-room plays can pair well with the $1,968/mo rent level.

Is Buffalo in NY worth investing in?

Our data puts Buffalo, NY at 3.0/5 for investability. Home prices of $572K and rents around $1,968/mo create a solid backdrop for investor activity.

You know 14202 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 14202 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 14202 ranks in Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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