Real Estate Investing in Upper Jay, New York (12987)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Essex County • Population: 188 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 12987 (Upper Jay, NY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (65/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 38.1% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Upper Jay, NY (12987)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

4.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $344,723
Avg Monthly Rent $1,395
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $109,688
% Renters 13.7%

Market Analysis: 12987 Upper Jay

This part of Essex County is not an easy win. The 12987 ZIP records softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

The investment case in 12987 is impressive only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $345K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

Statewide comparisons place 12987 among NY's softer markets. That context does not make the ZIP uninvestable, but it does raise the bar for due diligence.

Who lives in 12987 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 12987 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Upper Jay:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 75/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.1× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+10.9%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,395/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$362K$312K$263K$213K$164K$114KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 12987 Compare?

Metric 12987 Upper Jay New York
Home Value $344,723 $344,723 $505,608
5-Year CAGR 9.2% 9.2% 6.6%
Avg Rent $1,395 $1,395 -
Cap Rate 3.2% 3.2% -
💡 Why Invest in 12987? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 12987 (Upper Jay, NY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.2%
Low
5yr Growth
+9.2%
Strong

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $344,723
Monthly Rent $1,395
Price-to-Rent 20.6:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.9%
Cap Rate 3.2%
5-Year IRR 12.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +10.9% ▲
3-Year CAGR +8.7% ▲
5-Year CAGR +9.2% ▲
10-Year CAGR +8.4% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.2%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.2%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

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⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
38.1%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+9.2%
Growing
Eviction process: Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 12987

Population: 188

💰 Median Household Income
$109,688
This area
$109,688
State
$86,376
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
13.7%
This area
13.7%
State
26.4%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
-24.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
50.8%
This area
50.8%
State
4.2%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
54.3 years
This area
54.3 years
State
7.4 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
38.1%
This area
38.1%
State
19.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 98.7%
Other/Mixed 1.3%
👶 Under 18
7.2%
This area
7.2%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
15.8%
This area
15.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the smart move for investors in Upper Jay, NY?

For Upper Jay, NY, careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management is the standard investor playbook. The market structure makes it a reasonable default approach.

How deep is the rental pool in Upper Jay, NY?

The renter base in Upper Jay, NY is reasonable for the $1,395/mo price point. Screening well and pricing to market typically yields reliable tenants.

How much rent can I charge in Upper Jay, NY?

Expect rents around $1,395/mo per month in Upper Jay, NY. With home values at $345K, the yield math works out to reasonable levels for rental investors.

What does house hacking look like in Upper Jay, NY?

The house hack math a challenging in Upper Jay, NY. Owner-occupant buyers benefit from the $1,395/mo rents and $345K home values.

How does Upper Jay, NY stack up for property investment?

Our data puts Upper Jay, NY at 3.0/5 for investability. Home prices of $345K and rents around $1,395/mo create a solid backdrop for investor activity.

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