Real Estate Investing in Middle Grove, New York (12850)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Saratoga County • Population: 2,537 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 12850 (Middle Grove, NY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (60/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 21.5% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Middle Grove, NY (12850)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $360,899
Avg Monthly Rent $1,404
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $95,434
% Renters 13.4%

Market Analysis: 12850 Middle Grove

The 12850 ZIP covers a section of Middle Grove that demands careful diligence. Prices near $361K look accessible, but the work to make a deal cash flow is real.

The 12850 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

ZIP 12850's metrics run below Saratoga County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

A resilient renter share of 13% in 12850 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

The 12850 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Middle Grove:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 63/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.8× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+6.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,404/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
24 days
Average time to sell
Fast
9.8%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 12850

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
4.3% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+7.1% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$121,797/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $258,521 $1,560 4.3% +6.2% $129,260
3BR $373,225 $1,870 3.6% +6.2% $124,408
4BR $487,189 $2,070 3.1% +7.1% $121,797

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$377K$336K$296K$255K$214K$174KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 12850 Compare?

Metric 12850 Middle Grove Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY New York
Home Value $360,899 $360,899 N/A $505,608
5-Year CAGR 4.7% 4.7% N/A 6.6%
Avg Rent $1,404 $1,404 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.0% 3.0% - -
💡 Why Invest in 12850? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 12850 (Middle Grove, NY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.0%
Low
5yr Growth
+4.7%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $360,899
Monthly Rent $1,404
Price-to-Rent 21.4:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.7%
Cap Rate 3.0%
5-Year IRR 7.8%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +6.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR +4.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.7% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
21.5%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.7%
Stable
Eviction process: Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 12850

Population: 2,537

💰 Median Household Income
$95,434
This area
$95,434
State
$86,376
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
13.4%
This area
13.4%
State
26.4%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.6%
This area
1.6%
State
-24.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
28.0%
This area
28.0%
State
4.2%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
47.8 years
This area
47.8 years
State
7.4 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
21.5%
This area
21.5%
State
19.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 96.4%
Black/African American 2.3%
Other/Mixed 1.3%
Hispanic/Latino 0.6%
👶 Under 18
19.1%
This area
19.1%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
21.0%
This area
21.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.0%
This area
5.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby 6,118 Off-Campus Students
B+
Skidmore College
2,776 students · 9.8 mi
C
Empire State University
9,545 students · 10.0 mi

Investor Insight: With 6,118 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What investment strategy works best in Middle Grove, NY?

Middle Grove, NY investors pursuing careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The underlying economics ($361K prices, $1,404/mo rents) make it a reasonable choice.

What is the tenant pool like in Middle Grove, NY?

The renter base in Middle Grove, NY is reasonable for the $1,404/mo price point. Screening well and pricing to market typically yields stable tenants.

Does Middle Grove, NY favor landlords or tenants?

The landlord environment in Middle Grove, NY is tenant-protective. Statewide rules shape most day-to-day operations for rental owners.

How strong is Middle Grove, NY for real estate investors?

With a 3.0/5 investability score, Middle Grove, NY ranks as a solid market for rental property investors. Median prices of $361K and rents of $1,404/mo drive the underlying numbers.

Are homes affordable in Middle Grove, NY?

Median home price in Middle Grove, NY is near $361K, with a 5-year CAGR of 0.0%. Prices have been reliable and supportive of buy-and-hold strategies.

You know 12850 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 12850 ranks in Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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