Real Estate Investing in Saratoga Springs, New York (12866)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Saratoga County • Population: 39,657 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 12866 (Saratoga Springs, NY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (45/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 12.8% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

What’s happening in Saratoga Springs, NY (12866)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $665,316
Avg Monthly Rent $2,591
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $96,678
% Renters 37.4%

Market Analysis: 12866 Saratoga Springs

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Saratoga Springs's 12866 ZIP comes in at signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $665K pricing implies.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 12866 records the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

ZIP 12866's metrics run below Saratoga County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

Who lives in 12866 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

New investors are better served looking at Saratoga Springs's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 12866. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Saratoga Springs:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 63/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 6.9× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+8.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,591/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
24 days
Average time to sell
Fast
9.8%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 12866

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
3.5% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+9.0% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$180,294/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $440,408 $1,910 3.1% +6.8% $440,408
2BR $514,266 $2,300 3.2% +7.7% $257,133
3BR $564,649 $2,760 3.5% +7.8% $188,216
4BR $721,174 $3,050 3.0% +8.4% $180,294
5BR $1,064,218 +9.0% $212,844

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$694K$612K$530K$448K$366K$284KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,700$2,383$2,066$1,749$1,432$1,115Dec 2017Apr 2022Jul 2026

📊 How Does 12866 Compare?

Metric 12866 Saratoga Springs Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY New York
Home Value $665,316 $665,316 N/A $505,608
5-Year CAGR 6.7% 6.7% N/A 6.6%
Avg Rent $2,591 $2,591 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.0% 3.0% - -
💡 Why Invest in 12866? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 37% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 12866 (Saratoga Springs, NY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.0%
Low
5yr Growth
+6.7%
Strong

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $665,316
Monthly Rent $2,591
Price-to-Rent 21.4:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.7%
Cap Rate 3.0%
5-Year IRR 9.7%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +8.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR +5.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR +6.7% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.7% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +23.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR +11.1% ▲
5-Year CAGR +9.5% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
12.8%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+6.7%
Growing
Eviction process: Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 12866

Population: 39,657

💰 Median Household Income
$96,678
This area
$96,678
State
$86,376
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
37.4%
This area
37.4%
State
26.4%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.8%
This area
1.8%
State
-24.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
54.5%
This area
54.5%
State
4.2%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
44.6 years
This area
44.6 years
State
7.4 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
12.8%
This area
12.8%
State
19.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 88.9%
Other/Mixed 5.7%
Hispanic/Latino 3.0%
Black/African American 2.9%
Asian 2.5%
👶 Under 18
14.1%
This area
14.1%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
22.3%
This area
22.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
4.1%
This area
4.1%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 12866

A+ Avg School Grade
7 Schools
11.7:1 Avg Class Size
$21,438 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

DIVISION STREET ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
391 Students
👨‍🏫
11.2:1 Class Size
💰
$21,438 Per Student
A+ Excellent

GEYSER ROAD ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
352 Students
👨‍🏫
9.5:1 Class Size
💰
$21,438 Per Student
A+ Excellent

LAKE AVENUE ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
385 Students
👨‍🏫
11.1:1 Class Size
💰
$21,438 Per Student
A+ Excellent

CAROLINE STREET ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
366 Students
👨‍🏫
12.3:1 Class Size
💰
$21,438 Per Student
A+ Excellent

DOROTHY NOLAN ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
638 Students
👨‍🏫
12.4:1 Class Size
💰
$21,438 Per Student
A Very Good

MAPLE AVENUE MIDDLE SCHOOL

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
1,406 Students
👨‍🏫
12.6:1 Class Size
💰
$21,438 Per Student
A Very Good

SARATOGA SPRINGS HIGH SCHOOL

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,871 Students
👨‍🏫
13.0:1 Class Size
💰
$21,438 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby 6,118 Off-Campus Students
C
Empire State University
9,545 students · 2.1 mi
B+
Skidmore College
2,776 students · 2.7 mi

Investor Insight: With 6,118 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What kind of market is Saratoga Springs, NY for investors?

Our data puts Saratoga Springs, NY at 3.0/5 for investability. Home prices of $665K and rents around $2,591/mo create a solid backdrop for investor activity.

What is the typical rental rate in Saratoga Springs, NY?

The typical rental in Saratoga Springs, NY commands about $2,591/mo monthly. That rent profile stable cash flow against the $665K purchase basis.

How much should I expect to pay for a home in Saratoga Springs, NY?

Typical homes in Saratoga Springs, NY go for around $665K. The 5-year CAGR of 0.0% measured price movement.

How tight is the rental market in Saratoga Springs, NY?

Vacancy risk in Saratoga Springs, NY is elevated. That supports even-keeled cash flow for typical rental holds.

Does Saratoga Springs, NY favor landlords or tenants?

Rental owners in Saratoga Springs, NY deal with a tenant-protective legal framework. Most standard eviction processes run on reasonable timelines.

You know 12866 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 12866 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 12866 ranks in Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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