Real Estate Investing in Speculator, New York (12164)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Hamilton • Population: 520 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 12164 (Speculator, NY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (56/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 78.2% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Speculator, NY (12164)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $285,060
Avg Monthly Rent $1,485
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $57,292
% Renters 23.1%

Market Analysis: 12164 Speculator

Stepping back, ZIP 12164 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $285K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $285K asset, 12164 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

Meanwhile, 12164 offers a low basis, the region around Speculator has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

Demographically, 12164 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

Strategy in 12164 is an operator game, not a passive one. Stepping back, entry prices of $285K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Speculator:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 62/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 5× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+4.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,485/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$295K$267K$239K$211K$183K$155KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 12164 Compare?

Metric 12164 Speculator New York
Home Value $285,060 $308,720 $505,608
5-Year CAGR 6.0% 5.9% 6.6%
Avg Rent $1,485 $1,386 -
Cap Rate 4.1% 3.5% -
💡 Why Invest in 12164? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 12164 (Speculator, NY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.1%
Fair
5yr Growth
+6.0%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $285,060
Monthly Rent $1,485
Price-to-Rent 16.0:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.3%
Cap Rate 4.1%
5-Year IRR 10.0%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +4.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +4.1% ▲
5-Year CAGR +6.0% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.1%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.1%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
78.2%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+6.0%
Stable
Eviction process: Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 12164

Population: 520

💰 Median Household Income
$57,292
This area
$57,292
State
$86,376
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
23.1%
This area
23.1%
State
26.4%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.0%
This area
2.0%
State
-24.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
32.1%
This area
32.1%
State
4.2%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
62.1 years
This area
62.1 years
State
7.4 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
78.2%
This area
78.2%
State
19.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 97.9%
Hispanic/Latino 1.4%
Other/Mixed 1.4%
Black/African American 0.6%
👶 Under 18
7.8%
This area
7.8%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
43.9%
This area
43.9%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
14.7%
This area
14.7%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 12164

A Avg School Grade
1 Schools
3.4:1 Avg Class Size
$68,859 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

LAKE PLEASANT SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
65 Students
👨‍🏫
3.4:1 Class Size
💰
$68,859 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What investment strategy works best in Speculator, NY?

A careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy Speculator, NY best. The market produces stable results for that approach at the $285K price point.

Do rentals sit vacant long in Speculator, NY?

Occupancy in Speculator, NY runs steady with elevated vacancy. Well-priced units at $1,485/mo lease on reasonable timelines.

How viable is house hacking in Speculator, NY?

Speculator, NY offers a challenging house-hacking opportunity. Small multifamily or rent-by-the-room plays can pair well with the $1,485/mo rent level.

How much should I expect to pay for a home in Speculator, NY?

Speculator, NY median home values land near $285K. That is reasonable territory for investors looking at $1,485/mo-per-month rentals.

How much is rent in Speculator, NY?

Rental rates in Speculator, NY average $1,485/mo. Tenant demand and $285K home values make the yield look reasonable by investor standards.

You know 12164 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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