Real Estate Investing in Long Valley, New Jersey (07853)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Morris County • Population: 12,360 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 07853 (Long Valley, NJ)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (72/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 29.2 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Long Valley, NJ (07853)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $751,263
Avg Monthly Rent $2,142
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $196,011
% Renters 4.1%

Market Analysis: 07853 Long Valley

ZIP 07853 in Long Valley, NJ carries a impressive set of headwinds. Home values near $751K and rents of $2,142/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

The 07853 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

Regionally, 07853 sits on the difficult end of the NJ spectrum. The a credible choice for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

Who lives in 07853 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. substantial returns are possible in 07853, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Long Valley:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 71/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.8× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+5.5%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,142/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 07853

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
3.6% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+9.2% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$184,651/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
3BR $594,564 $2,980 3.6% +8.8% $198,188
4BR $772,205 $3,390 3.2% +9.1% $193,051
5BR $923,254 +9.2% $184,651

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$780K$698K$616K$534K$452K$370KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 07853 Compare?

Metric 07853 Long Valley New Jersey
Home Value $751,263 $751,263 $559,826
5-Year CAGR 6.2% 6.2% 8.4%
Avg Rent $2,142 $2,142 -
Cap Rate 2.2% 2.2% -
💡 Why Invest in 07853? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 07853 (Long Valley, NJ). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Morris County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Denali Property Management New Jersey specializes in condo management. summary from their website

HOA
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

PMI Prime Property Services offers residential, association, and commercial property management in Northern New Jersey, including marketing, tenant screening, and maintenance. summary from their website

Single-familySmall multifamilyHOACommercial
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Alliance Property Management LLC provides property management services. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.2%
Low
5yr Growth
+6.2%
Strong

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $751,263
Monthly Rent $2,142
Price-to-Rent 29.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.4%
Cap Rate 2.2%
5-Year IRR 8.4%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +5.5% ▲
3-Year CAGR +6.0% ▲
5-Year CAGR +6.2% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.2%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.2%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
4.5%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+6.2%
Growing
Eviction process: Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 07853

Population: 12,360

💰 Median Household Income
$196,011
This area
$196,011
State
$113,906
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
4.1%
This area
4.1%
State
28.4%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.4%
This area
3.4%
State
-9.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
66.1%
This area
66.1%
State
25.9%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
44.5 years
This area
44.5 years
State
22.0 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
4.5%
This area
4.5%
State
9.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 85.7%
Other/Mixed 8.3%
Hispanic/Latino 7.0%
Asian 5.1%
Black/African American 0.8%
👶 Under 18
24.5%
This area
24.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
18.3%
This area
18.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
2.2%
This area
2.2%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 07853

A+ Avg School Grade
4 Schools
10.4:1 Avg Class Size
$28,992 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

Benedict A. Cucinella School

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
485 Students
👨‍🏫
10.6:1 Class Size
💰
$28,992 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Flocktown-Kossmann Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
510 Students
👨‍🏫
11.9:1 Class Size
💰
$28,992 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Long Valley Middle School

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
688 Students
👨‍🏫
8.8:1 Class Size
💰
$28,992 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Old Farmers Road School

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
324 Students
👨‍🏫
10.3:1 Class Size
💰
$28,992 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

7 Nearby 3,957 Off-Campus Students
C
Centenary University
1,453 students · 4.9 mi
C+
Cutting Edge Academy
94 students · 9.2 mi
C
County College of Morris
6,069 students · 11.7 mi
C+
Warren County Community College
3,342 students · 12.7 mi
C
Raritan Valley Community College
6,587 students · 13.3 mi
D
Joe Kubert School of Cartoon and Graphic Art
0 students · 13.9 mi
C
Rabbinical College of America
206 students · 14.9 mi

Investor Insight: With 3,957 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does Long Valley, NJ stack up for property investment?

Long Valley, NJ scores 3.0/5 for investability. Home values sit at $751K and rents near $2,142/mo, which keeps the rent-to-price ratio in reasonable territory for buy-and-hold investors.

Do landlords face vacancy issues in Long Valley, NJ?

Long Valley, NJ sees elevated vacancy, which is reasonable relative to the broader NJ rental market.

What is the average monthly rent in Long Valley, NJ?

Average rent in Long Valley, NJ is approximately $2,142/mo per month. Against $751K home values that yields a reasonable rent-to-price ratio.

Are homes affordable in Long Valley, NJ?

Homes in Long Valley, NJ typically sell near $751K. Prices have moved at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, which measured long-term demand.

How should investors approach Long Valley, NJ?

The best-fit strategy in Long Valley, NJ is careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. That approach the rent and price profile of the market.

You know 07853 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 07853 ranks in New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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