Real Estate Investing in Wasilla, Alaska (99654)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Matanuska Susitna Borough • Population: 44,420 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 99654 (Wasilla, AK)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (63/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Wasilla, AK (99654)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $438,547
Avg Monthly Rent $1,887
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $88,875
% Renters 27.7%

Market Analysis: 99654 Wasilla

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Wasilla's 99654 ZIP sits at signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $439K pricing implies.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 99654 stands at the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

The gap between 99654 and stronger Wasilla ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

The demographic picture in 99654 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Wasilla averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

Strategy in 99654 is an operator game, not a passive one. Turning to rents, entry prices of $439K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Wasilla:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 68/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.9× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+9.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,887/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Anchorage, AK Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
28 days
Average time to sell
Fast
12.8%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Anchorage, AK metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 99654

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
3.5% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+5.4% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$125,170/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $284,186 $1,350 3.4% +5.4% $142,093
3BR $392,224 $1,880 3.5% +5.4% $130,741
4BR $500,681 $2,260 3.2% +5.4% $125,170

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$456K$406K$356K$306K$256K$206KApr 2006Jun 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,947$1,837$1,727$1,618$1,508$1,398Apr 2023Dec 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 99654 Compare?

Metric 99654 Wasilla Anchorage, AK Alaska
Home Value $438,547 $438,547 N/A $378,640
5-Year CAGR 5.2% 5.2% N/A 3.6%
Avg Rent $1,887 $1,887 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.4% 3.4% - -

Similar ZIPs Within 25 Miles

Compare other nearby markets to see if a neighbor offers a better fit.

💡 Why Invest in 99654? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 99654 (Wasilla, AK). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.4%
Low
5yr Growth
+5.2%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Anchorage, AK metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
27%
Days Pending
0/2
28 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $438,547
Monthly Rent $1,887
Price-to-Rent 19.4:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.2%
Cap Rate 3.4%
5-Year IRR 8.6%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +9.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR +5.0% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.2% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.0% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +16.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR +8.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.4%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.4%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
7.4%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.2%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Moderate

Demographics in 99654

Population: 44,420

💰 Median Household Income
$88,875
This area
$88,875
State
$64,271
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
27.7%
This area
27.7%
State
30.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.3%
This area
4.3%
State
-13.0%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
23.5%
This area
23.5%
State
-3.6%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
35.5 years
This area
35.5 years
State
2.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
7.4%
This area
7.4%
State
37.0%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 78.6%
Other/Mixed 18.2%
Hispanic/Latino 3.9%
Asian 1.8%
Black/African American 1.4%
👶 Under 18
26.9%
This area
26.9%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
12.2%
This area
12.2%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
7.8%
This area
7.8%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 99654

B+ Avg School Grade
19 Schools
25.0:1 Avg Class Size
$18,753 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

Finger Lake Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
402 Students
👨‍🏫
15.0:1 Class Size
💰
$18,753 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Larson Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
354 Students
👨‍🏫
13.9:1 Class Size
💰
$18,753 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Snowshoe Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
356 Students
👨‍🏫
14.8:1 Class Size
💰
$18,753 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Tanaina Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
377 Students
👨‍🏫
14.8:1 Class Size
💰
$18,753 Per Student
A Very Good

Fred and Sara Machetanz Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
476 Students
👨‍🏫
17.3:1 Class Size
💰
$18,753 Per Student
A Very Good

Iditarod Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
416 Students
👨‍🏫
16.6:1 Class Size
💰
$18,753 Per Student
A Very Good

John Shaw Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
483 Students
👨‍🏫
15.8:1 Class Size
💰
$18,753 Per Student
A Very Good

Mat-Su Career & Tech Ed High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
723 Students
👨‍🏫
16.4:1 Class Size
💰
$18,753 Per Student
A Very Good

Mat-Su Day School

📚 K – 12 K-12
👥
81 Students
👨‍🏫
6.0:1 Class Size
💰
$18,753 Per Student
A Very Good

Teeland Middle School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
657 Students
👨‍🏫
17.8:1 Class Size
💰
$18,753 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Knik Elementary School

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
268 Students
👨‍🏫
15.5:1 Class Size
💰
$18,753 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Wasilla High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
859 Students
👨‍🏫
17.9:1 Class Size
💰
$18,753 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Wasilla Middle School

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
568 Students
👨‍🏫
18.5:1 Class Size
💰
$18,753 Per Student
B+ Above Average

American Charter Academy

📚 K – 12 K-12 Charter
👥
197 Students
👨‍🏫
16.9:1 Class Size
💰
$18,753 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Fronteras Charter School

📚 K – 08 School Charter
👥
347 Students
👨‍🏫
19.3:1 Class Size
💰
$18,753 Per Student
B Good

Burchell High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
217 Students
👨‍🏫
16.7:1 Class Size
💰
$18,753 Per Student
B Good

Midnight Sun Family Learning Center

📚 K – 08 School Charter
👥
179 Students
👨‍🏫
19.9:1 Class Size
💰
$18,753 Per Student
C+ Average

Twindly Bridge Charter School

📚 K – 12 K-12 Charter
👥
592 Students
👨‍🏫
99.0:1 Class Size
💰
$18,753 Per Student
C Below Average

Mat-Su Central School

📚 K – 12 K-12
👥
2,558 Students
👨‍🏫
102.4:1 Class Size
💰
$18,753 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby
B
Alaska Bible College
65 students · 10.0 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the tenant base reliable in Wasilla, AK?

The renter base in Wasilla, AK is reasonable for the $1,887/mo price point. Screening well and pricing to market typically yields steady tenants.

Is Wasilla, AK landlord-friendly?

AK law landlord-friendly for landlords, and Wasilla inherits those rules. Investors should still review local ordinances for rental licensing.

Is housing expensive in Wasilla, AK?

Wasilla, AK median home values land near $439K. That is reasonable territory for investors looking at $1,887/mo-per-month rentals.

How viable is house hacking in Wasilla, AK?

The house hack math a challenging in Wasilla, AK. Owner-occupant buyers benefit from the $1,887/mo rents and $439K home values.

What is the typical vacancy rate in Wasilla, AK?

Wasilla, AK vacancy trends elevated. Investors running standard buy-and-hold plays see reasonable downtime between tenants.

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How 99654 ranks in Anchorage, AK

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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