Real Estate Investing in Kenai, Alaska (99611)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Kenai Peninsula Borough • Population: 16,028 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 99611 (Kenai, AK)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (49/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 19.7% of homes vacant — above national norms.

What’s happening in Kenai, AK (99611)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $336,707
Avg Monthly Rent $1,693
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $72,608
% Renters 27.9%

Market Analysis: 99611 Kenai

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Kenai's 99611 ZIP reports signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $337K pricing implies.

Rent of $1,693/mo on a $337K basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 99611 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.

In the broader AK picture, 99611 is a reminder that not every low-priced ZIP is a value-add opportunity — some are simply distressed, and the difference matters.

Demographically, 99611 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

Strategy in 99611 is an operator game, not a passive one. Looking more closely, entry prices of $337K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.95% as of Sep 17 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Kenai:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 62/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.6× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+8.8%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,693/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 99611

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
3.9% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+3.9% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$105,986/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
3BR $318,006 $1,740 3.9% +3.9% $106,002
4BR $423,943 $2,100 3.6% +3.3% $105,986

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$349K$313K$277K$242K$206K$170KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,897$1,854$1,810$1,766$1,722$1,678Aug 2025Jan 2026Jun 2026

📊 How Does 99611 Compare?

Metric 99611 Kenai Alaska
Home Value $336,707 $336,707 $378,640
5-Year CAGR 3.4% 3.4% 3.6%
Avg Rent $1,693 $1,693 -
Cap Rate 3.9% 3.9% -

Similar ZIPs Within 25 Miles

Compare other nearby markets to see if a neighbor offers a better fit.

💡 Why Invest in 99611? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 99611 (Kenai, AK). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.9%
Low
5yr Growth
+3.4%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $336,707
Monthly Rent $1,693
Price-to-Rent 16.6:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.0%
Cap Rate 3.9%
5-Year IRR 7.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +8.8% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.0% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.4% ▲
10-Year CAGR +3.7% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.9%  |  30yr Rate: 7.0%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (7.0%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.9%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
19.7%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.4%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Moderate

Demographics in 99611

Population: 16,028

💰 Median Household Income
$72,608
This area
$72,608
State
$64,271
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
27.9%
This area
27.9%
State
30.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.9%
This area
4.9%
State
-13.0%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
21.8%
This area
21.8%
State
-3.6%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
36.5 years
This area
36.5 years
State
2.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
19.7%
This area
19.7%
State
37.0%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 71.5%
Other/Mixed 24.9%
Hispanic/Latino 4.5%
Asian 2.7%
Black/African American 0.9%
👶 Under 18
23.5%
This area
23.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
16.5%
This area
16.5%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
6.4%
This area
6.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 99611

A Avg School Grade
8 Schools
13.6:1 Avg Class Size
$20,460 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

Mt. View Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
411 Students
👨‍🏫
14.6:1 Class Size
💰
$20,460 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Nikiski North Star Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
252 Students
👨‍🏫
14.4:1 Class Size
💰
$20,460 Per Student
A Very Good

Kenai Middle School

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
419 Students
👨‍🏫
15.2:1 Class Size
💰
$20,460 Per Student
A Very Good

Kaleidoscope School of Arts & Science

📚 K – 05 Elementary Charter
👥
200 Students
👨‍🏫
14.2:1 Class Size
💰
$20,460 Per Student
A Very Good

Kenai Central High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
494 Students
👨‍🏫
18.1:1 Class Size
💰
$20,460 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Aurora Borealis Charter School

📚 K – 08 School Charter
👥
193 Students
👨‍🏫
16.0:1 Class Size
💰
$20,460 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Kenai Alternative High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
49 Students
👨‍🏫
10.7:1 Class Size
💰
$20,460 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Marathon School

📚 07 – 12 High School
👥
6 Students
👨‍🏫
5.6:1 Class Size
💰
$20,460 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does Kenai, AK stack up for property investment?

Yes - Kenai, AK a 3.0/5 investability score. With $337K home prices against $1,693/mo monthly rent, the market delivers a reasonable entry point for new investors.

Is Kenai, AK landlord-friendly?

AK ranks as a landlord-friendly state for landlord-tenant law. Kenai generally follows the statewide framework, so landlords face reasonable operating rules.

How tight is the rental market in Kenai, AK?

Kenai, AK carries elevated vacancy risk. Expect measured absorption at market rents of $1,693/mo.

What is the smart move for investors in Kenai, AK?

Most investors in Kenai, AK run a careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy. It aligns with the 3.0/5 investability profile and the market fundamentals.

What do landlords charge for rent in Kenai, AK?

Expect rents around $1,693/mo per month in Kenai, AK. With home values at $337K, the yield math works out to reasonable levels for rental investors.

You know 99611 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 99611 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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