Real Estate Investing in Orcas, Washington (98280)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

San Juan County • Population: 427 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 98280 (Orcas, WA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (26/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • High vacancy: 51.0% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 63.1 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Orcas, WA (98280)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $1,445,264
Avg Monthly Rent $1,908
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $76,583
% Renters 9.4%

Market Analysis: 98280 Orcas

The 98280 ZIP covers a section of Orcas that demands careful diligence. Prices near $1.4M look accessible, but the work to make a deal cash flow is real.

From a cash-flow lens, the numbers look inviting — $1.4M purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 98280 is substantial and deserves full respect.

ZIP 98280's metrics run below San Juan County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

Who lives in 98280 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

The 98280 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Orcas:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 44/100
Affordability
0/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 18.9× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+8.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,908/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$1.6M$1.4M$1.2M$1.1M$878K$697KJan 2016May 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 98280 Compare?

Metric 98280 Orcas Washington
Home Value $1,445,264 $1,445,264 $591,536
5-Year CAGR 2.1% 2.1% 5.9%
Avg Rent $1,908 $1,908 -
Cap Rate 1.0% 1.0% -
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 98280 (Orcas, WA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
1.0%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.1%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $1,445,264
Monthly Rent $1,908
Price-to-Rent 63.1:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 1.6%
Cap Rate 1.0%
5-Year IRR 3.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +8.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR +0.4% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.1% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.6% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 1.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (1.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

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⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
51.0%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.1%
Stable
Eviction process: Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 98280

Population: 427

💰 Median Household Income
$76,583
This area
$76,583
State
$83,286
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
9.4%
This area
9.4%
State
29.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.8%
This area
2.8%
State
-13.7%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
67.7%
This area
67.7%
State
10.6%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
61.8 years
This area
61.8 years
State
10.2 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
51.0%
This area
51.0%
State
14.9%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 88.4%
Other/Mixed 7.8%
Asian 3.8%
Hispanic/Latino 1.0%
👶 Under 18
10.8%
This area
10.8%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
45.7%
This area
45.7%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
8.1%
This area
8.1%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the smart move for investors in Orcas, WA?

Orcas, WA investors pursuing careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The underlying economics ($1.4M prices, $1,908/mo rents) make it a reasonable choice.

Is Orcas, WA a friendly market for rental owners?

WA law tenant-protective for landlords, and Orcas inherits those rules. Investors should still review local ordinances for rental licensing.

Are renters plentiful in Orcas, WA?

Orcas, WA offers a predictable renter base at the $1,908/mo rent level. Tenant turnover is reasonable for well-managed properties.

Does house hacking make sense in Orcas, WA?

Orcas, WA offers a tougher house-hacking opportunity. Small multifamily or rent-by-the-room plays can pair well with the $1,908/mo rent level.

What are vacancy rates like in Orcas, WA?

Occupancy in Orcas, WA runs predictable with elevated vacancy. Well-priced units at $1,908/mo lease on reasonable timelines.

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