Real Estate Investing in Lopez, Washington (98261)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

San Juan County • Population: 3,030 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 98261 (Lopez, WA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (26/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • High vacancy: 37.9% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 51.8 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Lopez, WA (98261)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $872,636
Avg Monthly Rent $1,404
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $73,077
% Renters 21.9%

Market Analysis: 98261 Lopez

The 98261 ZIP covers a section of Lopez that demands careful diligence. Prices near $873K look accessible, but the work to make a deal cash flow is real.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $873K asset, 98261 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

In the broader WA picture, 98261 is a reminder that not every low-priced ZIP is a value-add opportunity — some are simply distressed, and the difference matters.

The 98261 ZIP's population of 3,030 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that posts the need for careful underwriting.

New investors are better served looking at Lopez's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 98261. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Lopez:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 44/100
Affordability
0/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 11.9× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-0.8%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,404/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
🏠

Property Strategy for 98261

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
1.4% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+7.2% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$342,211/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $670,266 $1,190 1.3% +7.1% $670,266
2BR $887,865 $1,560 1.3% +6.4% $443,933
3BR $1,026,633 $2,060 1.4% +7.2% $342,211

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$1.0M$882K$748K$614K$480K$346KFeb 2009Nov 2017Jul 2026

📊 How Does 98261 Compare?

Metric 98261 Lopez Washington
Home Value $872,636 $872,636 $591,536
5-Year CAGR 2.0% 2.0% 5.9%
Avg Rent $1,404 $1,404 -
Cap Rate 1.3% 1.3% -
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 98261 (Lopez, WA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
1.3%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.0%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $872,636
Monthly Rent $1,404
Price-to-Rent 51.8:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 1.9%
Cap Rate 1.3%
5-Year IRR 3.2%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -0.8% ▼
3-Year CAGR +0.0% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.0% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.4% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 1.3%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (1.3%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
37.9%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.0%
Flat
Eviction process: Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 98261

Population: 3,030

💰 Median Household Income
$73,077
This area
$73,077
State
$83,286
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
21.9%
This area
21.9%
State
29.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.3%
This area
1.3%
State
-13.7%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
54.5%
This area
54.5%
State
10.6%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
59.5 years
This area
59.5 years
State
10.2 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
37.9%
This area
37.9%
State
14.9%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 92.1%
Other/Mixed 6.5%
Hispanic/Latino 4.1%
Asian 0.9%
Black/African American 0.6%
👶 Under 18
12.3%
This area
12.3%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
38.3%
This area
38.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
12.1%
This area
12.1%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 98261

A+ Avg School Grade
2 Schools
11.9:1 Avg Class Size
$26,924 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

Lopez Elementary School

📚 K – 06 School
👥
102 Students
👨‍🏫
10.9:1 Class Size
💰
$26,924 Per Student
A Very Good

Lopez Middle High School

📚 07 – 12 High School
👥
114 Students
👨‍🏫
13.0:1 Class Size
💰
$26,924 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should investors consider Lopez, WA?

Lopez, WA posts an investability rating of 2.0/5, with median home values near $873K and average rents around $1,404/mo. That combination puts it in the significant tier for investor interest.

What kind of vacancy should I budget for in Lopez, WA?

Expect elevated vacancy in Lopez, WA. Rents at $1,404/mo are absorbed by the tenant base without meaningful lag.

Are rents high in Lopez, WA?

Rental rates in Lopez, WA average $1,404/mo. Tenant demand and $873K home values make the yield look reasonable by investor standards.

Is house hacking profitable in Lopez, WA?

For house hackers, Lopez, WA is a challenging. The $1,404/mo rent on a unit helps defray the mortgage on a $873K property.

Are renters plentiful in Lopez, WA?

The tenant pool in Lopez, WA is solid, supported by local employment and population fundamentals. Rents of $1,404/mo are well-absorbed by the market.

You know 98261 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 98261 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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