Real Estate Investing in Navajo Dam, New Mexico (87419)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

San Juan County • Population: 426 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 87419 (Navajo Dam, NM)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (46/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • High vacancy: 59.3% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Declining values: -1.8% 5-year CAGR — values have moved lower.
  • Higher unemployment: 17.0% unemployment — tenant risk signal.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Navajo Dam, NM (87419)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $192,096
Avg Monthly Rent $1,062
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $51,429
% Renters 37.0%

Market Analysis: 87419 Navajo Dam

ZIP 87419 in Navajo Dam, NM carries a healthy set of headwinds. Home values near $192K and rents of $1,062/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

For an experienced owner, 87419 can be a a credible choice for hunting ground — but the discount at $192K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

Within NM, ZIP 87419 trails on several market indicators that neighboring San Juan County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and impressive enough to shape underwriting.

The demographic picture in 87419 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Navajo Dam averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

New investors are better served looking at Navajo Dam's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 87419. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Navajo Dam:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 48/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
5/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.7× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+1.8%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,062/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Farmington, NM Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
8.5%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Farmington, NM metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$228K$219K$209K$200K$191K$181KFeb 2021Nov 2023Jul 2026

📊 How Does 87419 Compare?

Metric 87419 Navajo Dam Farmington, NM New Mexico
Home Value $192,096 $192,096 N/A $308,799
5-Year CAGR N/A N/A N/A 7.3%
Avg Rent $1,062 $1,062 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.3% 4.3% - -
💡 Why Invest in 87419? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 37% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 87419 (Navajo Dam, NM). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.3%
Fair
5yr Growth
-1.8%
Declining

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Farmington, NM metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
45%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $192,096
Monthly Rent $1,062
Price-to-Rent 15.1:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.6%
Cap Rate 4.3%
5-Year IRR 2.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +1.8% ▲
3-Year CAGR -1.1% ▼
5-Year CAGR -1.8% ▼
10-Year CAGR N/A

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.3%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.3%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
59.3%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
-1.8%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 87419

Population: 426

💰 Median Household Income
$51,429
This area
$51,429
State
$55,880
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
37.0%
This area
37.0%
State
21.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
17.0%
This area
17.0%
State
-32.0%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
22.8%
This area
22.8%
State
-18.1%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
54.0 years
This area
54.0 years
State
-44.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
59.3%
This area
59.3%
State
29.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 86.1%
Other/Mixed 13.9%
Hispanic/Latino 5.8%
👶 Under 18
14.6%
This area
14.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
24.6%
This area
24.6%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Navajo Dam, NM a smart market for rental property?

Yes - Navajo Dam, NM a 3.0/5 investability score. With $192K home prices against $1,062/mo monthly rent, the market delivers a reasonable entry point for new investors.

What monthly rent should investors expect in Navajo Dam, NM?

Rents in Navajo Dam, NM run near $1,062/mo. Compared with median home prices of $192K that produces solid gross yields for typical rentals.

What is the renter demographic in Navajo Dam, NM?

The renter base in Navajo Dam, NM is reasonable for the $1,062/mo price point. Screening well and pricing to market typically yields reliable tenants.

How tight is the rental market in Navajo Dam, NM?

Navajo Dam, NM sees elevated vacancy, which is reasonable relative to the broader NM rental market.

What strategy should investors use in Navajo Dam, NM?

In Navajo Dam, NM the resilient play is typically careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The combination of $192K prices and $1,062/mo rents suits that approach.

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How 87419 ranks in Farmington, NM

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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