Real Estate Investing in Kirtland, New Mexico (87417)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

San Juan County • Population: 6,507 • Data updated: September 2026

☆ Watch this market Free account

Should you buy in 87417 (Kirtland, NM)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (52/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 16.0% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Higher unemployment: 10.3% unemployment — tenant risk signal.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Kirtland, NM (87417)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $233,885
Avg Monthly Rent $873
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $50,114
% Renters 33.4%

Market Analysis: 87417 Kirtland

ZIP 87417 inside San Juan County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $234K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

For an experienced owner, 87417 can be a worth a close look for hunting ground — but the discount at $234K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

Meanwhile, 87417 offers a low basis, the region around Kirtland has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

Looking more closely, 6,507 residents fill the ZIP, renter turnover runs higher than neighboring postal codes and delinquency risk is a real line item rather than a theoretical one.

appears to the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Kirtland:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 58/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
9/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.7× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+10.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $873/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Farmington, NM Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
8.5%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Farmington, NM metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 87417

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
4.0% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+9.2% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$72,949/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
3BR $241,286 $1,350 4.0% +9.2% $80,429
4BR $291,797 $1,460 3.6% $72,949

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$246K$224K$203K$181K$160K$139KApr 2014Jun 2020Jul 2026

📊 How Does 87417 Compare?

Metric 87417 Kirtland Farmington, NM New Mexico
Home Value $233,885 $233,885 N/A $308,799
5-Year CAGR 4.3% 4.3% N/A 7.3%
Avg Rent $873 $873 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.9% 2.9% - -
💡 Why Invest in 87417? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 87417 (Kirtland, NM). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.9%
Low
5yr Growth
+4.3%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Farmington, NM metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
45%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $233,885
Monthly Rent $873
Price-to-Rent 22.3:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.5%
Cap Rate 2.9%
5-Year IRR 7.2%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +10.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.1% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.3% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.1% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.9%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.9%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
16.0%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.3%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 87417

Population: 6,507

💰 Median Household Income
$50,114
This area
$50,114
State
$55,880
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
33.4%
This area
33.4%
State
21.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
10.3%
This area
10.3%
State
-32.0%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
12.3%
This area
12.3%
State
-18.1%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
29.9 years
This area
29.9 years
State
-44.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
16.0%
This area
16.0%
State
29.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
Other/Mixed 56.7%
White 43.0%
Hispanic/Latino 7.7%
Asian 0.3%
👶 Under 18
33.7%
This area
33.7%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
15.4%
This area
15.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
15.6%
This area
15.6%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 87417

A+ Avg School Grade
5 Schools
12.6:1 Avg Class Size
$22,238 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

KIRTLAND MIDDLE

📚 07 – 08 Middle
👥
375 Students
👨‍🏫
11.3:1 Class Size
💰
$22,238 Per Student
A+ Excellent

JUDY NELSON ELEMENTARY

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
467 Students
👨‍🏫
12.3:1 Class Size
💰
$22,238 Per Student
A+ Excellent

KIRTLAND CENTRAL HIGH

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
704 Students
👨‍🏫
14.5:1 Class Size
💰
$22,238 Per Student
A+ Excellent

KIRTLAND ELEMENTARY

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
380 Students
👨‍🏫
12.3:1 Class Size
💰
$22,238 Per Student
B Good

KIRTLAND PRE-K EARLY CHILDHOOD CENTER

📚 Grade PK Elementary Limited Data
💰
$22,238 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby 3,029 Off-Campus Students
C+
San Juan College
6,196 students · 9.9 mi

Investor Insight: With 3,029 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are vacancy rates like in Kirtland, NM?

Vacancy in Kirtland, NM is elevated, which keeps landlord downtime on reasonable timelines. Most properties lease within the standard window at $873/mo.

Is Kirtland, NM a good market for FHA house hackers?

Kirtland, NM is a a challenging market for house hackers. FHA or conventional owner-occupant buyers find the $234K price point reasonable to enter.

Is Kirtland, NM a smart market for rental property?

The 3.0/5 investability rating in Kirtland, NM reflects its $234K prices and $873/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within NM.

What are home prices like in Kirtland, NM?

Median home price in Kirtland, NM is near $234K, with a 5-year CAGR of 0.0%. Prices have been predictable and supportive of buy-and-hold strategies.

Which real estate strategy fits Kirtland, NM?

Investors who focus on careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management typically do well in Kirtland, NM. The numbers - $234K homes against $873/mo rents - support that play.

You know 87417 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 87417 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 87417 ranks in Farmington, NM

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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