Real Estate Investing in Page, Arizona (86040)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Coconino County • Population: 10,627 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 86040 (Page, AZ)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (45/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 17.6% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Higher unemployment: 7.9% unemployment — tenant risk signal.

What’s happening in Page, AZ (86040)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $376,852
Avg Monthly Rent $1,500
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $77,777
% Renters 34.3%

Market Analysis: 86040 Page

This part of Coconino County is not an easy win. The 86040 ZIP stands at softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

The investment case in 86040 is impressive only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $377K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

Nearby ZIPs in Page have seen price recovery that 86040 has not matched. Coconino County data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

Employment concentration in 86040 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

New investors are better served looking at Page's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 86040. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Page:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 60/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.8× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+2.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,500/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Flagstaff, AZ Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
70 days
Average time to sell
Slow
9.4%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Flagstaff, AZ metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$408K$359K$310K$262K$213K$164KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

No data available

📊 How Does 86040 Compare?

Metric 86040 Page Flagstaff, AZ Arizona
Home Value $376,852 $376,852 N/A $419,643
5-Year CAGR 2.4% 2.4% N/A 6.5%
Avg Rent $1,500 $1,500 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.1% 3.1% - -

Similar ZIPs Within 25 Miles

Compare other nearby markets to see if a neighbor offers a better fit.

💡 Why Invest in 86040? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 86040 (Page, AZ). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.1%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.4%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Flagstaff, AZ metro

4/10
Moderate Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
2/3
65%
Days Pending
2/2
70 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $376,852
Monthly Rent $1,500
Price-to-Rent 20.9:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.8%
Cap Rate 3.1%
5-Year IRR 5.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +2.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +1.0% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.4% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.2% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.1%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.1%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
17.6%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.4%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 86040

Population: 10,627

💰 Median Household Income
$77,777
This area
$77,777
State
$66,355
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
34.3%
This area
34.3%
State
28.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
7.9%
This area
7.9%
State
-23.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
16.8%
This area
16.8%
State
-1.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
31.8 years
This area
31.8 years
State
11.1 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
17.6%
This area
17.6%
State
19.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
Other/Mixed 67.8%
White 29.8%
Hispanic/Latino 3.1%
Black/African American 1.6%
Asian 0.8%
👶 Under 18
27.4%
This area
27.4%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
12.6%
This area
12.6%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
7.3%
This area
7.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 86040

C+ Avg School Grade
10 Schools
17.7:1 Avg Class Size
$14,257 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Lake View Elementary Primary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
431 Students
👨‍🏫
13.9:1 Class Size
💰
$13,165 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Tse'yaato' High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
27 Students
👨‍🏫
8.3:1 Class Size
💰
$20,810 Per Student
B Good

Desert View Elementary Intermediate

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
547 Students
👨‍🏫
19.2:1 Class Size
💰
$13,165 Per Student
B Good

Page Middle School

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
499 Students
👨‍🏫
19.6:1 Class Size
💰
$13,165 Per Student
C+ Average

Page High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
812 Students
👨‍🏫
22.1:1 Class Size
💰
$13,165 Per Student
C+ Average

Manson Mesa High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
58 Students
👨‍🏫
17.8:1 Class Size
💰
$13,165 Per Student
C Below Average

CAVIAT - Page Central Campus

📚 09 – 12 High School Limited Data
C Below Average

CAVIAT - Page High School

📚 09 – 12 High School Limited Data
C Below Average

Glen Canyon Outdoor Academy

📚 K – 08 School Charter Limited Data
👥
166 Students
C Below Average

Sage & Sand Academy

📚 K – 12 K-12
👥
23 Students
👨‍🏫
22.8:1 Class Size
💰
$13,165 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much do tenants pay in Page, AZ?

Rent in Page, AZ is around $1,500/mo. The resulting rent-to-value relationship with $377K pricing is reasonable for most investor models.

How much does a house cost in Page, AZ?

Homes in Page, AZ typically sell near $377K. Prices have moved at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, which steady long-term demand.

Is Page, AZ a smart market for rental property?

The 3.0/5 investability rating in Page, AZ reflects its $377K prices and $1,500/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within AZ.

Are there empty rentals in Page, AZ?

Page, AZ sees elevated vacancy, which is reasonable relative to the broader AZ rental market.

What is the best play in Page, AZ?

For Page, AZ, careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management is the standard investor playbook. The market structure makes it a reasonable default approach.

You know 86040 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 86040 ranks in Flagstaff, AZ

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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