Real Estate Investing in Vernon, Arizona (85940)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Apache County • Population: 1,278 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 85940 (Vernon, AZ)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (41/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 35.1% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 25.6 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Vernon, AZ (85940)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $392,671
Avg Monthly Rent $1,278
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $61,971
% Renters 12.0%

Market Analysis: 85940 Vernon

The 85940 ZIP in Vernon, AZ is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $393K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

Distressed does not mean uninvestable. It means the margin for error is thinner. ZIP 85940 rewards the prepared, punishes the overconfident, and leaves the math unchanged either way.

Within AZ, ZIP 85940 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Apache County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and durable enough to shape underwriting.

Put differently, 1,278 residents fill the ZIP, renter turnover runs higher than neighboring postal codes and delinquency risk is a real line item rather than a theoretical one.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 85940 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Vernon:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 57/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 6.3× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+4.7%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,278/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$414K$355K$297K$238K$179K$120KFeb 2009Nov 2017Jul 2026

📊 How Does 85940 Compare?

Metric 85940 Vernon Arizona
Home Value $392,671 $392,671 $419,643
5-Year CAGR 5.9% 5.9% 6.5%
Avg Rent $1,278 $1,278 -
Cap Rate 2.5% 2.5% -
💡 Why Invest in 85940? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 85940 (Vernon, AZ). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.5%
Low
5yr Growth
+5.9%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $392,671
Monthly Rent $1,278
Price-to-Rent 25.6:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.9%
Cap Rate 2.5%
5-Year IRR 8.4%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +4.7% ▲
3-Year CAGR +1.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.9% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
35.1%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.9%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 85940

Population: 1,278

💰 Median Household Income
$61,971
This area
$61,971
State
$66,355
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
12.0%
This area
12.0%
State
28.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.6%
This area
1.6%
State
-23.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
34.3%
This area
34.3%
State
-1.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
53.5 years
This area
53.5 years
State
11.1 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
35.1%
This area
35.1%
State
19.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 86.2%
Other/Mixed 10.8%
Hispanic/Latino 6.3%
Black/African American 3.1%
👶 Under 18
14.8%
This area
14.8%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
22.6%
This area
22.6%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
17.6%
This area
17.6%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 85940

A+ Avg School Grade
1 Schools
11.4:1 Avg Class Size
$23,467 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

Vernon Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
127 Students
👨‍🏫
11.4:1 Class Size
💰
$23,467 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

Does Vernon, AZ make sense for an investment property?

Yes - Vernon, AZ a 3.0/5 investability score. With $393K home prices against $1,278/mo monthly rent, the market delivers a reasonable entry point for new investors.

How tight is the rental market in Vernon, AZ?

Vernon, AZ sees elevated vacancy, which is reasonable relative to the broader AZ rental market.

Is AZ a landlord-friendly state?

AZ ranks as a landlord-friendly state for landlord-tenant law. Vernon generally follows the statewide framework, so landlords face reasonable operating rules.

Does house hacking make sense in Vernon, AZ?

For house hackers, Vernon, AZ is a challenging. The $1,278/mo rent on a unit helps defray the mortgage on a $393K property.

How much is rent in Vernon, AZ?

Rental rates in Vernon, AZ average $1,278/mo. Tenant demand and $393K home values make the yield look reasonable by investor standards.

You know 85940 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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