Real Estate Investing in Paint Rock, Texas (76866)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Concho County • Population: 918 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 76866 (Paint Rock, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (43/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (38/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 43.9% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • 1-year downturn: Values declined 10.4% in the last year.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Paint Rock, TX (76866)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

0.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $195,720
Avg Monthly Rent $1,035
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $62,885
% Renters 16.5%

Market Analysis: 76866 Paint Rock

ZIP 76866 inside Concho County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $196K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

For an experienced owner, 76866 can be a a credible choice for hunting ground — but the discount at $196K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

Regionally, 76866 sits on the difficult end of the TX spectrum. The worth a close look for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

Demographically, 76866 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 76866 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Paint Rock:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 50/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
0/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.1× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-10.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,035/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$256K$242K$228K$213K$199K$185KFeb 2022May 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 76866 Compare?

Metric 76866 Paint Rock Texas
Home Value $195,720 $195,720 $297,000
5-Year CAGR N/A N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $1,035 $1,035 -
Cap Rate 4.1% 4.1% -
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 76866 (Paint Rock, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
4.1%
Fair

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $195,720
Monthly Rent $1,035
Price-to-Rent 15.8:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.4%
Cap Rate 4.1%
5-Year IRR 3.2%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -10.4% ▼
3-Year CAGR -0.9% ▼
5-Year CAGR N/A
10-Year CAGR N/A

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.1%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.1%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

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⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
43.9%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
N/A
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 76866

Population: 918

💰 Median Household Income
$62,885
This area
$62,885
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
16.5%
This area
16.5%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
13.3%
This area
13.3%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
53.9 years
This area
53.9 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
43.9%
This area
43.9%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 65.8%
Other/Mixed 30.4%
Hispanic/Latino 28.8%
Black/African American 3.8%
👶 Under 18
22.4%
This area
22.4%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
31.0%
This area
31.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
10.1%
This area
10.1%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 76866

B Avg School Grade
2 Schools
7.8:1 Avg Class Size
$53,103 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

PAINT ROCK SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 12 K-12
👥
181 Students
👨‍🏫
7.8:1 Class Size
💰
$17,553 Per Student
C+ Average

VERIBEST PPCD

📚 Grade PK Elementary Limited Data
👥
1 Students
💰
$88,653 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

How high is vacancy risk in Paint Rock, TX?

Vacancy risk in Paint Rock, TX is elevated. That supports steady cash flow for typical rental holds.

Does Paint Rock, TX favor landlords or tenants?

Rental owners in Paint Rock, TX deal with a landlord-friendly legal framework. Most standard eviction processes run on reasonable timelines.

What is the average monthly rent in Paint Rock, TX?

Expect rents around $1,035/mo per month in Paint Rock, TX. With home values at $196K, the yield math works out to reasonable levels for rental investors.

What does house hacking look like in Paint Rock, TX?

The a challenging house-hack environment in Paint Rock, TX reflects the rent-to-price spread. Expect meaningful PITI offset at market rents.

Is Paint Rock, TX a good place for real estate investing?

Yes - Paint Rock, TX a 2.0/5 investability score. With $196K home prices against $1,035/mo monthly rent, the market delivers a reasonable entry point for new investors.

You know 76866 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 76866 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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