Real Estate Investing in Elm Mott, Texas (76640)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

McLennan • Population: 2,958 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 76640 (Elm Mott, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (66/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Elevated vacancy: 9.8% vacancy may signal weakening demand.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Elm Mott, TX (76640)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $230,173
Avg Monthly Rent $1,116
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $52,074
% Renters 24.2%

Market Analysis: 76640 Elm Mott

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Elm Mott's 76640 ZIP records signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $230K pricing implies.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $230K asset, 76640 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

Statewide comparisons place 76640 among TX's softer markets. That context does not make the ZIP uninvestable, but it does raise the bar for due diligence.

Employment concentration in 76640 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

The 76640 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Elm Mott:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 67/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.4× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+7.3%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,116/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 76640

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
7.4% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+7.3% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$60,037/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $120,073 $1,240 7.4% $60,037
3BR $252,564 $1,600 4.6% +7.3% $84,188
4BR $423,167 $1,650 2.8% $105,792

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$242K$208K$174K$140K$106K$72KJan 2009Oct 2017Jul 2026

📊 How Does 76640 Compare?

Metric 76640 Elm Mott Texas
Home Value $230,173 $230,173 $297,000
5-Year CAGR 5.4% 5.4% 5.4%
Avg Rent $1,116 $1,116 -
Cap Rate 3.8% 3.8% -
💡 Why Invest in 76640? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 76640 (Elm Mott, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.8%
Low
5yr Growth
+5.4%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $230,173
Monthly Rent $1,116
Price-to-Rent 17.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.8%
Cap Rate 3.8%
5-Year IRR 9.2%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +7.3% ▲
3-Year CAGR +1.9% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.4% ▲
10-Year CAGR +8.4% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.8%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.8%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
9.8%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.4%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 76640

Population: 2,958

💰 Median Household Income
$52,074
This area
$52,074
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
24.2%
This area
24.2%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.4%
This area
1.4%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
17.7%
This area
17.7%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
34.5 years
This area
34.5 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
9.8%
This area
9.8%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 83.9%
Other/Mixed 15.8%
Hispanic/Latino 12.5%
Black/African American 0.3%
👶 Under 18
30.1%
This area
30.1%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
15.4%
This area
15.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
18.0%
This area
18.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 76640

A Avg School Grade
2 Schools
13.1:1 Avg Class Size
$14,303 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

CONNALLY J H

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
535 Students
👨‍🏫
11.9:1 Class Size
💰
$14,303 Per Student
A Very Good

CONNALLY PRI

📚 01 – 03 Elementary
👥
498 Students
👨‍🏫
14.4:1 Class Size
💰
$14,303 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

4 Nearby 5,693 Off-Campus Students
C+
Texas State Technical College
11,436 students · 3.6 mi
C
McLennan Community College
7,217 students · 9.0 mi
B
Baylor University
20,824 students · 10.3 mi
D
Southern Careers Institute-Waco
205 students · 12.9 mi

Investor Insight: With 5,693 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does Elm Mott, TX rate as a rental market?

Elm Mott, TX scores 3.0/5 for investability. Home values sit at $230K and rents near $1,116/mo, which keeps the rent-to-price ratio in reasonable territory for buy-and-hold investors.

What is it like being a landlord in Elm Mott, TX?

TX ranks as a landlord-friendly state for landlord-tenant law. Elm Mott generally follows the statewide framework, so landlords face reasonable operating rules.

How should investors approach Elm Mott, TX?

In Elm Mott, TX the solid play is typically careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The combination of $230K prices and $1,116/mo rents suits that approach.

What kind of vacancy should I budget for in Elm Mott, TX?

Elm Mott, TX vacancy trends elevated. Investors running standard buy-and-hold plays see reasonable downtime between tenants.

Does house hacking work in Elm Mott, TX?

House hacking in Elm Mott, TX is reasonable to execute. Prices around $230K and rents of $1,116/mo solid owner-occupant economics.

You know 76640 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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