Real Estate Investing in Cherry Valley, Illinois (61016)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Winnebago County • Population: 5,166 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 61016 (Cherry Valley, IL)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (72/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 25.5 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Cherry Valley, IL (61016)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

4.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $294,120
Avg Monthly Rent $963
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $97,500
% Renters 12.0%

Market Analysis: 61016 Cherry Valley

This part of Winnebago County is not an easy win. The 61016 ZIP clocks in at softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

Distressed does not mean uninvestable. It means the margin for error is thinner. ZIP 61016 rewards the prepared, punishes the overconfident, and leaves the math unchanged either way.

In practical terms, 61016 offers a low basis, the region around Cherry Valley has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

Employment concentration in 61016 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

New investors are better served looking at Cherry Valley's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 61016. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Cherry Valley:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 77/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
9/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 3× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+10.2%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $963/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Rockford, IL Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
19 days
Average time to sell
Fast
11.2%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Rockford, IL metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 61016

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
4.0% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+9.4% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$84,316/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $191,876 $1,070 4.0% +7.9% $95,938
3BR $271,456 $1,410 3.7% +9.4% $90,485
4BR $337,263 $1,450 3.1% +8.1% $84,316

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$307K$269K$231K$192K$154K$115KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 61016 Compare?

Metric 61016 Cherry Valley Rockford, IL Illinois
Home Value $294,120 $294,120 N/A $279,761
5-Year CAGR 8.4% 8.4% N/A 6.6%
Avg Rent $963 $963 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.6% 2.6% - -
💡 Why Invest in 61016? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 61016 (Cherry Valley, IL). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.6%
Low
5yr Growth
+8.4%
Strong

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Rockford, IL metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
32%
Days Pending
0/2
19 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $294,120
Monthly Rent $963
Price-to-Rent 25.5:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.9%
Cap Rate 2.6%
5-Year IRR 11.0%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +10.2% ▲
3-Year CAGR +8.0% ▲
5-Year CAGR +8.4% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.6%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
5.4%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+8.4%
Growing
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 61016

Population: 5,166

💰 Median Household Income
$97,500
This area
$97,500
State
$75,721
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
12.0%
This area
12.0%
State
22.2%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.4%
This area
2.4%
State
-3.3%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
31.9%
This area
31.9%
State
16.4%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
45.6 years
This area
45.6 years
State
32.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
5.4%
This area
5.4%
State
11.6%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 80.5%
Other/Mixed 11.3%
Hispanic/Latino 9.2%
Black/African American 4.6%
Asian 3.6%
👶 Under 18
23.6%
This area
23.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
20.3%
This area
20.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
3.9%
This area
3.9%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

7 Nearby 3,649 Off-Campus Students
C
Educators of Beauty College of Cosmetology-Rockford
101 students · 5.2 mi
C
Rasmussen University-Illinois
1,332 students · 5.5 mi
D
Tricoci University of Beauty Culture-Rockford
173 students · 5.6 mi
D
Stautzenberger College-Rockford Career College
733 students · 5.8 mi
C
Rockford University
1,249 students · 6.3 mi
C
Rock Valley College
5,480 students · 7.9 mi
D
Saint Anthony College of Nursing
228 students · 8.1 mi

Investor Insight: With 3,649 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the typical vacancy rate in Cherry Valley, IL?

Cherry Valley, IL vacancy trends elevated. Investors running standard buy-and-hold plays see reasonable downtime between tenants.

How strong is tenant demand in Cherry Valley, IL?

Working renters make up the core of the Cherry Valley, IL tenant base. The pool is reasonable for investors targeting long-term holds.

What are home prices like in Cherry Valley, IL?

The median home value in Cherry Valley, IL is roughly $294K. That puts it reasonable relative to the IL statewide average.

How do landlord-tenant laws work in Cherry Valley, IL?

IL law landlord-friendly for landlords, and Cherry Valley inherits those rules. Investors should still review local ordinances for rental licensing.

What type of investing works in Cherry Valley, IL?

A careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy Cherry Valley, IL best. The market produces stable results for that approach at the $294K price point.

You know 61016 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 61016 ranks in Rockford, IL

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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