Real Estate Investing in Spearfish, South Dakota (57783)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Lawrence County • Population: 16,929 • Data updated: September 2026

☆ Watch this market Free account

Should you buy in 57783 (Spearfish, SD)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (47/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • Elevated vacancy: 11.6% vacancy may signal weakening demand.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 28.0 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

What’s happening in Spearfish, SD (57783)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $459,739
Avg Monthly Rent $1,370
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $64,500
% Renters 39.0%

Market Analysis: 57783 Spearfish

Turning to rents, ZIP 57783 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $460K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $460K asset, 57783 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

The gap between 57783 and stronger Spearfish ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

From a cash-flow lens, 16,929 residents fill the ZIP, renter turnover runs higher than neighboring postal codes and delinquency risk is a real line item rather than a theoretical one.

Strategically, 57783 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Spearfish:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 55/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 7.1× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+0.9%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,370/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Spearfish, SD Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
7.2%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Spearfish, SD metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 57783

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
4BR
2.6% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+8.6% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$126,005/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $317,778 $1,080 2.4% +8.6% $158,889
3BR $444,661 $1,500 2.4% +8.4% $148,220
4BR $504,021 $1,810 2.6% +8.5% $126,005
5BR $648,555 +8.5% $129,711

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$484K$427K$369K$312K$254K$197KMay 2012Jul 2019Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,480$1,456$1,433$1,409$1,386$1,362Jun 2026Jul 2026Jul 2026

📊 How Does 57783 Compare?

Metric 57783 Spearfish Spearfish, SD South Dakota
Home Value $459,739 $229,870 N/A $311,504
5-Year CAGR 4.7% 4.7% N/A 6.8%
Avg Rent $1,370 $1,370 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.3% 2.3% - -
💡 Why Invest in 57783? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 39% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 57783 (Spearfish, SD). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.3%
Low
5yr Growth
+4.7%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Spearfish, SD metro

2/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
2/3
73%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $459,739
Monthly Rent $1,370
Price-to-Rent 28.0:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.6%
Cap Rate 2.3%
5-Year IRR 7.0%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +0.9% ▲
3-Year CAGR +1.9% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.7% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.3%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.3%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
11.6%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.7%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 57783

Population: 16,929

💰 Median Household Income
$64,500
This area
$64,500
State
$68,422
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
39.0%
This area
39.0%
State
23.8%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.5%
This area
1.5%
State
-0.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
42.7%
This area
42.7%
State
17.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
41.2 years
This area
41.2 years
State
31.0 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
11.6%
This area
11.6%
State
18.9%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 90.1%
Other/Mixed 8.7%
Hispanic/Latino 2.7%
Asian 0.7%
Black/African American 0.6%
👶 Under 18
18.3%
This area
18.3%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
22.2%
This area
22.2%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
4.5%
This area
4.5%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 57783

B Avg School Grade
9 Schools
11.1:1 Avg Class Size
$11,695 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

West Elementary - 03

📚 01 – 02 Elementary
👥
348 Students
👨‍🏫
10.8:1 Class Size
💰
$11,695 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Creekside Elementary - 07

📚 03 – 05 Elementary
👥
519 Students
👨‍🏫
13.9:1 Class Size
💰
$11,695 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Spearfish Middle School - 05

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
573 Students
👨‍🏫
14.4:1 Class Size
💰
$11,695 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Mountain View Elementary - 08

📚 Grade KG Elementary
👥
166 Students
👨‍🏫
11.8:1 Class Size
💰
$11,695 Per Student
B Good

Spearfish High School - 01

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
771 Students
👨‍🏫
17.1:1 Class Size
💰
$11,695 Per Student
C+ Average
👥
7 Students
👨‍🏫
2.6:1 Class Size
💰
$11,695 Per Student
C+ Average
👥
18 Students
👨‍🏫
7.5:1 Class Size
💰
$11,695 Per Student
C Below Average

Black Hills Academy at Canyon Hills - 08

📚 04 – 08 School Limited Data
C Below Average

Black Hills Academy at Canyon Hills High School - 07

📚 09 – 12 High School Limited Data
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby 163 Off-Campus Students
C
Black Hills State University
3,475 students · 3.0 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

How much is rent in Spearfish, SD?

Rents in Spearfish, SD run near $1,370/mo. Compared with median home prices of $460K that produces solid gross yields for typical rentals.

How do experienced investors play Spearfish, SD?

The best-fit strategy in Spearfish, SD is careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. That approach the rent and price profile of the market.

What kind of market is Spearfish, SD for investors?

Investors tracking Spearfish, SD will find a 3.0/5 rating supported by $460K median home values and $1,370/mo rents. That profile suits long-term holders targeting even-keeled returns.

How high is vacancy risk in Spearfish, SD?

Vacancy risk in Spearfish, SD is elevated. That supports predictable cash flow for typical rental holds.

Is it easy to find good tenants in Spearfish, SD?

Tenant demand in Spearfish, SD is solid. The local workforce $1,370/mo rents across most rental classes.

You know 57783 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 57783 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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