Real Estate Investing in Lexington, Kentucky (40509)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Fayette County • Population: 45,135 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 40509 (Lexington, KY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (71/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Lexington, KY (40509)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $404,934
Avg Monthly Rent $1,592
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $90,503
% Renters 37.9%

Market Analysis: 40509 Lexington

This part of Fayette County is not an easy win. The 40509 ZIP sits at softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $405K asset, 40509 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

Within KY, ZIP 40509 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Fayette County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and resilient enough to shape underwriting.

A solid renter share of 38% in 40509 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

Strategy in 40509 is an operator game, not a passive one. From a cash-flow lens, entry prices of $405K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Lexington:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 75/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.5× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+4.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,592/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Lexington-Fayette, KY Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
46 days
Average time to sell
Average
11.8%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Lexington-Fayette, KY metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 40509

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
5.4% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+9.5% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$107,022/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $214,043 $1,610 5.4% +9.5% $107,022
3BR $329,790 $2,210 4.8% +8.0% $109,930
4BR $487,277 $2,460 3.6% +7.4% $121,819
5BR $625,658 +7.4% $125,132

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$422K$373K$325K$276K$227K$178KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,657$1,510$1,363$1,217$1,070$923Jul 2016Jul 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 40509 Compare?

Metric 40509 Lexington Lexington-Fayette, KY Kentucky
Home Value $404,934 $342,797 N/A $225,788
5-Year CAGR 6.0% 6.9% N/A 6.9%
Avg Rent $1,592 $1,627 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.1% 3.5% - -
💡 Why Invest in 40509? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 38% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 40509 (Lexington, KY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.1%
Low
5yr Growth
+6.0%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $404,934
Monthly Rent $1,592
Price-to-Rent 21.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.7%
Cap Rate 3.1%
5-Year IRR 9.0%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +4.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR +4.1% ▲
5-Year CAGR +6.0% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.3% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -0.4% ▼
3-Year CAGR +2.8% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.6% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.1%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.1%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
5.6%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+6.0%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 40509

Population: 45,135

💰 Median Household Income
$90,503
This area
$90,503
State
$55,541
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
37.9%
This area
37.9%
State
23.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.3%
This area
2.3%
State
-16.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
55.6%
This area
55.6%
State
-4.1%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
36.2 years
This area
36.2 years
State
4.8 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
5.6%
This area
5.6%
State
16.9%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 68.9%
Black/African American 14.6%
Other/Mixed 9.7%
Asian 6.7%
Hispanic/Latino 5.1%
👶 Under 18
25.4%
This area
25.4%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
13.0%
This area
13.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.2%
This area
5.2%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 40509

A Avg School Grade
9 Schools
11.9:1 Avg Class Size
$17,525 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

Athens-Chilesburg Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
570 Students
👨‍🏫
13.4:1 Class Size
💰
$17,525 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Brenda Cowan Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
570 Students
👨‍🏫
12.8:1 Class Size
💰
$17,525 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Garrett Morgan Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
780 Students
👨‍🏫
14.4:1 Class Size
💰
$17,525 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Liberty Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
726 Students
👨‍🏫
13.5:1 Class Size
💰
$17,525 Per Student
A Very Good

Edythe Jones Hayes Middle School

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
1,070 Students
👨‍🏫
14.8:1 Class Size
💰
$17,525 Per Student
A Very Good

Carter G. Woodson Academy

📚 06 – 12 High School
👥
305 Students
👨‍🏫
13.7:1 Class Size
💰
$17,525 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Ridge Hospital Alt. Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
2 Students
👨‍🏫
0.4:1 Class Size
💰
$17,525 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Ridge Hospital Alt. High School

📚 06 – 12 High School
👥
5 Students
👨‍🏫
5.0:1 Class Size
💰
$17,525 Per Student
B Good

Frederick Douglass High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,719 Students
👨‍🏫
19.0:1 Class Size
💰
$17,525 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 8,337 Off-Campus Students
D
Summit Salon Academy-Lexington
123 students · 5.2 mi
C
Employment Solutions-College for Technical Education
200 students · 6.3 mi
C
Bluegrass Community and Technical College
11,619 students · 7.7 mi
C+
Transylvania University
1,022 students · 7.9 mi
B
University of Kentucky
32,703 students · 8.1 mi
C+
Kentucky Horseshoeing School
24 students · 8.4 mi
D
Lexington Healing Arts Academy
89 students · 8.5 mi
D
Lexington Theological Seminary
93 students · 8.6 mi

Investor Insight: With 8,337 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should investors consider Lexington, KY?

With a 3.0/5 investability score, Lexington, KY ranks as a solid market for rental property investors. Median prices of $405K and rents of $1,592/mo drive the underlying numbers.

What are rental rates like in Lexington, KY?

Rental rates in Lexington, KY average $1,592/mo. Tenant demand and $405K home values make the yield look reasonable by investor standards.

Is housing expensive in Lexington, KY?

Lexington, KY median home values land near $405K. That is reasonable territory for investors looking at $1,592/mo-per-month rentals.

Are landlord laws favorable in Lexington, KY?

Rental owners in Lexington, KY deal with a landlord-friendly legal framework. Most standard eviction processes run on reasonable timelines.

How tight is the rental market in Lexington, KY?

Vacancy risk in Lexington, KY is elevated. That supports even-keeled cash flow for typical rental holds.

You know 40509 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 40509 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 40509 ranks in Lexington-Fayette, KY

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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