Real Estate Investing in Louisville, Kentucky (40204)
Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.
Should you buy in 40204 (Louisville, KY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.
Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.
A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.
- High vacancy: 12.3% of homes vacant — above national norms.
What’s happening in Louisville, KY (40204)?
Click any question — our AI will research it live from the web and show you sources.
Market Analysis: 40204 Louisville
Turning to rents, ZIP 40204 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $286K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.
From a cash-flow lens, the numbers look inviting — $286K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 40204 is substantial and deserves full respect.
Stepping back, 40204 offers a low basis, the region around Louisville has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.
Resident income in 40204 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.
trends toward the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.
Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Louisville:
Property Strategy for 40204
Which property type performs best in this market?
📊 Compare All Property Types →
| Type | Median Value | Est. Rent | Cap Rate | 5yr CAGR | $/Bedroom |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1BR | $189,769 | $1,180 | 4.5% | +5.1% | $189,769 |
| 2BR | $266,405 | $1,430 | 3.9% | +4.6% | $133,203 |
| 3BR | $335,357 | $1,830 | 3.9% | +4.5% | $111,786 |
| 4BR | $568,279 | $2,130 | 2.7% | +4.9% | $142,070 |
| 5BR | $803,855 | — | — | +4.8% | $160,771 |
Market Trends
Home Value History (with trend line)
Rent History (with trend line)
📊 How Does 40204 Compare?
| Metric | 40204 | Louisville | Kentucky |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home Value | $286,087 | $240,458 | $225,788 |
| 5-Year CAGR | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% |
| Avg Rent | $1,315 | $1,353 | - |
| Cap Rate | 3.6% | 4.7% | - |
Similar ZIPs Within 25 Miles
Compare other nearby markets to see if a neighbor offers a better fit.
Landlord Ground Truth
Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 40204 (Louisville, KY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.
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📊 Market Snapshot
| Home Value | $286,087 |
| Monthly Rent | $1,315 |
| Price-to-Rent | 18.1:1 |
| 1% Rule | ✗ Fails |
💰 Return Metrics
| Gross Yield | 5.5% |
| Cap Rate | 3.6% |
| 5-Year IRR | 7.3% |
📈 Home Appreciation
| 1-Year | +3.5% ▲ |
| 3-Year CAGR | +3.6% ▲ |
| 5-Year CAGR | +3.7% ▲ |
| 10-Year CAGR | +4.9% ▲ |
🏠 Rent Trends
| 1-Year | -4.5% ▼ |
| 3-Year CAGR | +1.2% ▲ |
| 5-Year CAGR | +3.7% ▲ |
The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.
Run an IRR Analysis →⚠️ Risk Signals
Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.
Demographics in 40204
Population: 14,018
Crime & Safety
Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon
We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.
Expected: Q1 2025
🎓 Schools in 40204
Schools in This ZIP Code
Nearby Schools (5 more)
Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area
Breckinridge-Franklin Elementary
Shelby Academy
Cochran Elementary
Coleridge-Taylor Montessori Elementary
Hawthorne Elementary
About Repit School Scores
Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.
We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:
- Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
- School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
- Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
- School Environment — Size, type, and structure
Scores are updated annually using federal education data.
🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities
Investor Insight: With 13,695 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.
Frequently Asked Questions
How strong are rents in Louisville, KY?
Rent in Louisville, KY is around $1,315/mo. The resulting rent-to-value relationship with $286K pricing is reasonable for most investor models.
Is Louisville, KY a friendly market for rental owners?
Louisville, KY operates under KY law, which is landlord-friendly overall for landlords. Expect steady treatment in typical lease and eviction cases.
What kind of vacancy should I budget for in Louisville, KY?
Rental vacancy in Louisville, KY is elevated. Investors should budget normal turnover but not chronic empty units.
What is the renter demographic in Louisville, KY?
The renter base in Louisville, KY is reasonable for the $1,315/mo price point. Screening well and pricing to market typically yields even-keeled tenants.
How does Louisville, KY stack up for property investment?
With a 3.0/5 investability score, Louisville, KY ranks as a solid market for rental property investors. Median prices of $286K and rents of $1,315/mo drive the underlying numbers.
You know 40204 now. You don’t know where it ranks.
This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 40204 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.
How 40204 ranks in Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.
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