Real Estate Investing in Louisville, Kentucky (40204)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Jefferson County • Population: 14,018 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 40204 (Louisville, KY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (53/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 12.3% of homes vacant — above national norms.

What’s happening in Louisville, KY (40204)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $286,087
Avg Monthly Rent $1,315
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $65,457
% Renters 50.5%

Market Analysis: 40204 Louisville

Turning to rents, ZIP 40204 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $286K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

From a cash-flow lens, the numbers look inviting — $286K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 40204 is substantial and deserves full respect.

Stepping back, 40204 offers a low basis, the region around Louisville has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

Resident income in 40204 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

trends toward the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Louisville:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 67/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.4× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+3.5%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,315/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 40204

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
1BR
4.5% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
1BR
+5.1% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$111,786/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $189,769 $1,180 4.5% +5.1% $189,769
2BR $266,405 $1,430 3.9% +4.6% $133,203
3BR $335,357 $1,830 3.9% +4.5% $111,786
4BR $568,279 $2,130 2.7% +4.9% $142,070
5BR $803,855 +4.8% $160,771

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$303K$268K$234K$200K$166K$131KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,477$1,351$1,226$1,101$976$850Feb 2017Nov 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 40204 Compare?

Metric 40204 Louisville Kentucky
Home Value $286,087 $240,458 $225,788
5-Year CAGR 3.7% 5.2% 6.9%
Avg Rent $1,315 $1,353 -
Cap Rate 3.6% 4.7% -
💡 Why Invest in 40204? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

51% of households rent in this area, creating consistent tenant demand for landlords.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 40204 (Louisville, KY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Jefferson County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

LREI Property Management LLC provides property management services in Louisville. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.6%
Low
5yr Growth
+3.7%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $286,087
Monthly Rent $1,315
Price-to-Rent 18.1:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.5%
Cap Rate 3.6%
5-Year IRR 7.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +3.5% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.6% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.7% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -4.5% ▼
3-Year CAGR +1.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.7% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.6%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
12.3%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.7%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 40204

Population: 14,018

💰 Median Household Income
$65,457
This area
$65,457
State
$55,541
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
50.5%
This area
50.5%
State
23.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.2%
This area
3.2%
State
-16.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
58.2%
This area
58.2%
State
-4.1%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
36.8 years
This area
36.8 years
State
4.8 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
12.3%
This area
12.3%
State
16.9%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 85.9%
Black/African American 6.7%
Other/Mixed 5.2%
Asian 2.2%
Hispanic/Latino 1.8%
👶 Under 18
11.8%
This area
11.8%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
15.8%
This area
15.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
8.5%
This area
8.5%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 40204

B+ Avg School Grade
3 Schools
13.1:1 Avg Class Size
$19,590 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

Bloom Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
540 Students
👨‍🏫
17.3:1 Class Size
💰
$19,590 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Breckinridge Metropolitan High

📚 07 – 12 High School
👥
92 Students
👨‍🏫
3.4:1 Class Size
💰
$19,590 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Jefferson County Traditional Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
874 Students
👨‍🏫
18.6:1 Class Size
💰
$19,590 Per Student

Nearby Schools (5 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

A+ Excellent

Breckinridge-Franklin Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
📍 1351 Payne St., Louisville
👥
327 Students
👨‍🏫
10.7:1 Class Size
💰
$19,590 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Shelby Academy

📚 K – 05 Elementary
📍 735 Ziegler Street, Louisville
👥
384 Students
👨‍🏫
11.9:1 Class Size
💰
$19,590 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Cochran Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
📍 500 West Gaulbert Ave, Louisville
👥
375 Students
👨‍🏫
12.8:1 Class Size
💰
$19,590 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Coleridge-Taylor Montessori Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 1115 W Chestnut St, Louisville
👥
413 Students
👨‍🏫
14.9:1 Class Size
💰
$19,590 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Hawthorne Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 2301 Clarendon Ave, Louisville
👥
438 Students
👨‍🏫
14.4:1 Class Size
💰
$19,590 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 13,695 Off-Campus Students
C+
Bellarmine University
2,993 students · 1.6 mi
C
Jefferson Community and Technical College
12,574 students · 1.9 mi
C
Louisville Presbyterian Theological Seminary
94 students · 1.9 mi
C
The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary
4,243 students · 1.9 mi
C
Spalding University
1,555 students · 2.0 mi
D
Simmons College of Kentucky
389 students · 2.4 mi
B
University of Louisville
22,139 students · 2.6 mi
C
Sullivan University
2,855 students · 3.3 mi

Investor Insight: With 13,695 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

How strong are rents in Louisville, KY?

Rent in Louisville, KY is around $1,315/mo. The resulting rent-to-value relationship with $286K pricing is reasonable for most investor models.

Is Louisville, KY a friendly market for rental owners?

Louisville, KY operates under KY law, which is landlord-friendly overall for landlords. Expect steady treatment in typical lease and eviction cases.

What kind of vacancy should I budget for in Louisville, KY?

Rental vacancy in Louisville, KY is elevated. Investors should budget normal turnover but not chronic empty units.

What is the renter demographic in Louisville, KY?

The renter base in Louisville, KY is reasonable for the $1,315/mo price point. Screening well and pricing to market typically yields even-keeled tenants.

How does Louisville, KY stack up for property investment?

With a 3.0/5 investability score, Louisville, KY ranks as a solid market for rental property investors. Median prices of $286K and rents of $1,315/mo drive the underlying numbers.

You know 40204 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 40204 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 40204 ranks in Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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