Real Estate Investing in Louisville, Kentucky (40202)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Jefferson County • Population: 7,109 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 40202 (Louisville, KY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (24/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • High vacancy: 23.4% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Flat appreciation: Values have barely moved over 5 years (1.4% CAGR).
  • Lower household income: $26,643 median — tenant affordability is tighter.

What’s happening in Louisville, KY (40202)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $334,507
Avg Monthly Rent $1,203
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $26,643
% Renters 90.7%

Market Analysis: 40202 Louisville

ZIP 40202 inside Jefferson County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $335K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

Distressed does not mean uninvestable. It means the margin for error is thinner. ZIP 40202 rewards the prepared, punishes the overconfident, and leaves the math unchanged either way.

The gap between 40202 and stronger Louisville ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

Resident income in 40202 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 40202 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Louisville:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 46/100
Affordability
0/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
9/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 12.6× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+3.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,203/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
🏠

Property Strategy for 40202

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
3.3% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
-0.2% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$130,378/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $365,528 $1,390 2.7% -0.2% $182,764
3BR $391,133 $1,780 3.3% $130,378

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$342K$329K$317K$305K$292K$280KNov 2012Sep 2019Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,455$1,377$1,300$1,222$1,145$1,067Feb 2021Nov 2023Jul 2026

📊 How Does 40202 Compare?

Metric 40202 Louisville Kentucky
Home Value $334,507 $240,458 $225,788
5-Year CAGR 1.4% 5.2% 6.9%
Avg Rent $1,203 $1,353 -
Cap Rate 2.8% 4.7% -
💡 Why Invest in 40202? Click to expand

91% of households rent in this area, creating consistent tenant demand for landlords.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 40202 (Louisville, KY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Jefferson County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

LREI Property Management LLC provides property management services in Louisville. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
2.8%
Low
5yr Growth
+1.4%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $334,507
Monthly Rent $1,203
Price-to-Rent 23.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.3%
Cap Rate 2.8%
5-Year IRR 4.2%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +3.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR +1.7% ▲
5-Year CAGR +1.4% ▲
10-Year CAGR +0.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -13.3% ▼
3-Year CAGR -3.3% ▼
5-Year CAGR -0.6% ▼
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.8%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.8%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
23.4%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+1.4%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 40202

Population: 7,109

💰 Median Household Income
$26,643
This area
$26,643
State
$55,541
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
90.7%
This area
90.7%
State
23.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.4%
This area
2.4%
State
-16.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
23.5%
This area
23.5%
State
-4.1%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
42.2 years
This area
42.2 years
State
4.8 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
23.4%
This area
23.4%
State
16.9%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 48.0%
Black/African American 42.8%
Other/Mixed 5.6%
Asian 3.5%
Hispanic/Latino 3.1%
👶 Under 18
3.7%
This area
3.7%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
10.7%
This area
10.7%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.0%
This area
5.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 40202

B+ Avg School Grade
3 Schools
8.3:1 Avg Class Size
$19,590 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

J. Graham Brown School

📚 K – 12 K-12
👥
753 Students
👨‍🏫
16.4:1 Class Size
💰
$19,590 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Ahrens Educational Resource Center

📚 Grade 12 High School
👥
38 Students
👨‍🏫
7.6:1 Class Size
💰
$19,590 Per Student
B Good

Ackerly

📚 05 – 12 High School
👥
2 Students
👨‍🏫
1.0:1 Class Size
💰
$19,590 Per Student

Nearby Schools (5 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

A+ Excellent

Breckinridge-Franklin Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
📍 1351 Payne St., Louisville
👥
327 Students
👨‍🏫
10.7:1 Class Size
💰
$19,590 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Shelby Academy

📚 K – 05 Elementary
📍 735 Ziegler Street, Louisville
👥
384 Students
👨‍🏫
11.9:1 Class Size
💰
$19,590 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Byck Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
📍 2328 Cedar Street, Louisville
👥
265 Students
👨‍🏫
11.4:1 Class Size
💰
$19,590 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Portland Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
📍 3410 Northwestern Parkway, Louisville
👥
279 Students
👨‍🏫
11.6:1 Class Size
💰
$19,590 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Young Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
📍 3526 West Muhammad Ali Boulevard, Louisville
👥
226 Students
👨‍🏫
9.5:1 Class Size
💰
$19,590 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 13,695 Off-Campus Students
C
Jefferson Community and Technical College
12,574 students · 0.5 mi
C
Spalding University
1,555 students · 0.8 mi
D
Simmons College of Kentucky
389 students · 1.2 mi
B
University of Louisville
22,139 students · 2.5 mi
D
Ideal Beauty Academy
2 students · 2.7 mi
C+
Bellarmine University
2,993 students · 3.5 mi
C
The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary
4,243 students · 3.5 mi
C
Louisville Presbyterian Theological Seminary
94 students · 3.7 mi

Investor Insight: With 13,695 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should investors worry about vacancy in Louisville, KY?

Louisville, KY carries elevated vacancy risk. Expect even-keeled absorption at market rents of $1,203/mo.

What is the median home value in Louisville, KY?

Louisville, KY median home values land near $335K. That is reasonable territory for investors looking at $1,203/mo-per-month rentals.

What are rental rates like in Louisville, KY?

Louisville, KY rentals go for roughly $1,203/mo a month. That puts gross yield in solid territory relative to $335K acquisition costs.

Does a duplex house hack pencil in Louisville, KY?

House hacking in Louisville, KY is reasonable to execute. Prices around $335K and rents of $1,203/mo solid owner-occupant economics.

Is Louisville, KY a good place for real estate investing?

With a 2.0/5 investability score, Louisville, KY ranks as a solid market for rental property investors. Median prices of $335K and rents of $1,203/mo drive the underlying numbers.

You know 40202 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 40202 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 40202 ranks in Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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