Real Estate Investing in Payneville, Kentucky (40170)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Breckinridge County • Population: 536 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 40170 (Payneville, KY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (81/100)

Solid choice — stable market with a reasonable entry point and good rental backup if you ever need to move.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Elevated poverty: 41.7% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Payneville, KY (40170)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $120,306
Avg Monthly Rent $783
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $53,681
% Renters 10.2%

Market Analysis: 40170 Payneville

The 40170 ZIP covers a section of Payneville that demands careful diligence. Prices near $120K look accessible, but the work to make a deal cash flow is real.

The 40170 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

In the broader KY picture, 40170 is a reminder that not every low-priced ZIP is a value-add opportunity — some are simply distressed, and the difference matters.

The demographic picture in 40170 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Payneville averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

Strategically, 40170 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Payneville:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 69/100
Affordability
25/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 2.2× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-1.2%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $783/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$133K$117K$101K$85K$69K$53KJan 2012May 2019Jul 2026

📊 How Does 40170 Compare?

Metric 40170 Payneville Kentucky
Home Value $120,306 $191,967 $225,788
5-Year CAGR 1.8% 6.5% 6.9%
Avg Rent $783 $879 -
Cap Rate 5.1% 3.9% -
💡 Why Invest in 40170? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 40170 (Payneville, KY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
5.1%
Fair
5yr Growth
+1.8%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $120,306
Monthly Rent $783
Price-to-Rent 12.8:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 7.8%
Cap Rate 5.1%
5-Year IRR 6.9%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -1.2% ▼
3-Year CAGR -1.9% ▼
5-Year CAGR +1.8% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 5.1%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (5.1%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

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⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
0.0%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+1.8%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 40170

Population: 536

💰 Median Household Income
$53,681
This area
$53,681
State
$55,541
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
10.2%
This area
10.2%
State
23.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
-16.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
12.4%
This area
12.4%
State
-4.1%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
11.9 years
This area
11.9 years
State
4.8 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
16.9%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 100.0%
👶 Under 18
55.4%
This area
55.4%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
23.8%
This area
23.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
41.7%
This area
41.7%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

What approach is best for Payneville, KY real estate?

In Payneville, KY the durable play is typically careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The combination of $120K prices and $783/mo rents suits that approach.

What monthly rent should investors expect in Payneville, KY?

Expect rents around $783/mo per month in Payneville, KY. With home values at $120K, the yield math works out to reasonable levels for rental investors.

Are tenants stable in Payneville, KY?

Tenant demand in Payneville, KY is solid. The local workforce $783/mo rents across most rental classes.

How high is vacancy risk in Payneville, KY?

Occupancy in Payneville, KY runs consistent with elevated vacancy. Well-priced units at $783/mo lease on reasonable timelines.

Is KY a landlord-friendly state?

For rental operators, Payneville, KY rates as landlord-friendly. The regulatory environment standard buy-and-hold operations.

You know 40170 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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