Real Estate Investing in Scobey, Mississippi (38953)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Yalobusha County • Population: 353 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 38953 (Scobey, MS)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (35/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
5 flags
  • High vacancy: 19.6% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Declining values: -2.1% 5-year CAGR — values have moved lower.
  • 1-year downturn: Values declined 4.4% in the last year.
  • Elevated poverty: 23.8% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Scobey, MS (38953)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $153,885
Avg Monthly Rent $783
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $33,895
% Renters 0.0%

Market Analysis: 38953 Scobey

Investors eyeing 38953 need to respect the fundamentals at play. Home values of $154K come alongside slower price movement and elevated management overhead.

On the rental side, the numbers look inviting — $154K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 38953 is substantial and deserves full respect.

From a cash-flow lens, 38953 offers a low basis, the region around Scobey has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

A solid renter share of 0% in 38953 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

The 38953 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Scobey:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 45/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
0/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.5× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-4.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $783/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$189K$175K$161K$147K$133K$119KFeb 2016May 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 38953 Compare?

Metric 38953 Scobey Mississippi
Home Value $153,885 $153,885 $186,446
5-Year CAGR N/A N/A 4.0%
Avg Rent $783 $783 -
Cap Rate 4.0% 4.0% -
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 38953 (Scobey, MS). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
4.0%
Low
5yr Growth
-2.1%
Declining

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $153,885
Monthly Rent $783
Price-to-Rent 16.4:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.1%
Cap Rate 4.0%
5-Year IRR 1.8%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -4.4% ▼
3-Year CAGR -2.8% ▼
5-Year CAGR -2.1% ▼
10-Year CAGR +1.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

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⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
19.6%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
-2.1%
Declining
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 38953

Population: 353

💰 Median Household Income
$33,895
This area
$33,895
State
$48,827
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
27.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
-17.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
8.9%
This area
8.9%
State
-11.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
62.7 years
This area
62.7 years
State
10.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
19.6%
This area
19.6%
State
18.7%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 73.2%
Other/Mixed 26.8%
Hispanic/Latino 18.8%
👶 Under 18
0.0%
This area
0.0%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
45.6%
This area
45.6%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
23.8%
This area
23.8%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby
C
Academy of Hair Design-Grenada
33 students · 11.4 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Scobey, MS a smart market for rental property?

With a 2.0/5 investability score, Scobey, MS ranks as a solid market for rental property investors. Median prices of $154K and rents of $783/mo drive the underlying numbers.

Where do rents currently stand in Scobey, MS?

Investors in Scobey, MS typically see rents near $783/mo per month against $154K home values - a solid setup for rental cash flow.

How do home values compare in Scobey, MS?

In Scobey, MS the median home value sits at $154K. Against the broader MS market, that reads as reasonable for most investors.

How strong is the working-renter base in Scobey, MS?

The renter base in Scobey, MS is reasonable for the $783/mo price point. Screening well and pricing to market typically yields steady tenants.

What real estate strategy is ideal for Scobey, MS?

Scobey, MS investors pursuing careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The underlying economics ($154K prices, $783/mo rents) make it a reasonable choice.

You know 38953 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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