Real Estate Investing in Millington, Tennessee (38053)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Shelby County • Population: 25,352 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 38053 (Millington, TN)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (70/100)

Solid choice — stable market with a reasonable entry point and good rental backup if you ever need to move.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Elevated vacancy: 8.5% vacancy may signal weakening demand.

What’s happening in Millington, TN (38053)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $245,137
Avg Monthly Rent $1,595
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $57,012
% Renters 33.0%

Market Analysis: 38053 Millington

Turning to rents, ZIP 38053 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $245K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $245K asset, 38053 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

In the broader TN picture, 38053 is a reminder that not every low-priced ZIP is a value-add opportunity — some are simply distressed, and the difference matters.

The 38053 ZIP's population of 25,352 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that reflects the need for careful underwriting.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 38053 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Millington:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 71/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.3× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+3.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,595/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Memphis, TN-MS-AR Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
68 days
Average time to sell
Slow
10.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Memphis, TN-MS-AR metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 38053

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
6.2% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+7.5% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$71,816/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $146,382 $1,260 6.2% +7.5% $73,191
3BR $215,448 $1,660 5.5% +7.4% $71,816
4BR $324,098 $1,940 4.3% +6.2% $81,025
5BR $434,330 +5.9% $86,866

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$259K$226K$194K$161K$128K$95KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,626$1,554$1,481$1,409$1,336$1,264Mar 2023Nov 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 38053 Compare?

Metric 38053 Millington Memphis, TN-MS-AR Tennessee
Home Value $245,137 $122,568 N/A $327,001
5-Year CAGR 5.0% 5.0% N/A 7.7%
Avg Rent $1,595 $1,595 N/A -
Cap Rate 5.1% 5.1% - -
💡 Why Invest in 38053? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 38053 (Millington, TN). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Shelby County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Advantage Property Management offers property management services in Memphis, TN, and surrounding areas, including Section 8 property management, maintenance, and renovations. summary from their website

Section 8
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Enterprise Property Management offers property management services in Memphis. summary from their website

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Foundation Property Management offers property management services in Memphis, TN. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
5.1%
Fair
5yr Growth
+5.0%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $245,137
Monthly Rent $1,595
Price-to-Rent 12.8:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 7.8%
Cap Rate 5.1%
5-Year IRR 10.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +3.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +2.0% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.0% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.1% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +6.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR +6.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 5.1%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (5.1%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
8.5%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.0%
Stable
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 38053

Population: 25,352

💰 Median Household Income
$57,012
This area
$57,012
State
$60,881
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
33.0%
This area
33.0%
State
25.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.5%
This area
3.5%
State
-22.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
20.7%
This area
20.7%
State
-6.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
40.2 years
This area
40.2 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
8.5%
This area
8.5%
State
15.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 64.6%
Black/African American 25.1%
Other/Mixed 9.0%
Hispanic/Latino 6.0%
Asian 1.4%
👶 Under 18
23.6%
This area
23.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
16.9%
This area
16.9%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
10.7%
This area
10.7%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 38053

B+ Avg School Grade
6 Schools
14.7:1 Avg Class Size
$14,140 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

E.E. Jeter Elementary/Middle

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
369 Students
👨‍🏫
12.2:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Woodstock Middle School

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
239 Students
👨‍🏫
12.6:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Lucy Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
301 Students
👨‍🏫
15.1:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
B Good

Millington Intermediate School

📚 04 – 06 School
👥
544 Students
👨‍🏫
16.5:1 Class Size
💰
$12,987 Per Student
B Good

Millington Central Middle High School

📚 07 – 12 High School
👥
1,211 Students
👨‍🏫
15.0:1 Class Size
💰
$12,987 Per Student
B Good

Millington Primary School

📚 Pre-K – 03 Elementary
👥
891 Students
👨‍🏫
17.1:1 Class Size
💰
$12,987 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 3,007 Off-Campus Students
C
Studio 75 Hair Academy
12 students · 3.0 mi
C+
Gould's Academy
177 students · 12.5 mi
B
Rhodes College
1,952 students · 12.7 mi
C
Vibe Barber College
63 students · 12.8 mi
C
Southwest Tennessee Community College
6,980 students · 12.9 mi
C
Tennessee College of Applied Technology-Memphis
1,691 students · 13.8 mi
C
William R Moore College of Technology
461 students · 13.8 mi
C+
Massage Institute of Memphis
20 students · 14.1 mi

Investor Insight: With 3,007 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the average home sale price in Millington, TN?

Median home price in Millington, TN is near $245K, with a 5-year CAGR of 0.0%. Prices have been measured and supportive of buy-and-hold strategies.

How should investors approach Millington, TN?

Investors who focus on careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management typically do well in Millington, TN. The numbers - $245K homes against $1,595/mo rents - support that play.

Is Millington, TN a friendly market for rental owners?

Landlord-friendliness in Millington, TN is landlord-friendly. Eviction timelines and lease enforcement are considered reasonable by most property managers.

Does house hacking work in Millington, TN?

House hacking in Millington, TN is a challenging. With home values around $245K and rents at $1,595/mo, owner-occupants can offset a meaningful share of PITI.

How strong is tenant demand in Millington, TN?

Tenant demand in Millington, TN is solid. The local workforce $1,595/mo rents across most rental classes.

You know 38053 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 38053 ranks in Memphis, TN-MS-AR

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable → 1% Rule →
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