Real Estate Investing in Hickory Valley, Tennessee (38042)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Hardeman County • Population: 451 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 38042 (Hickory Valley, TN)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (46/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Higher unemployment: 13.2% unemployment — tenant risk signal.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Hickory Valley, TN (38042)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

0.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $207,745
Avg Monthly Rent $1,062
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $45,329
% Renters 23.8%

Market Analysis: 38042 Hickory Valley

ZIP 38042 in Hickory Valley, TN carries a substantial set of headwinds. Home values near $208K and rents of $1,062/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 38042 sits at the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

Meanwhile, 38042 offers a low basis, the region around Hickory Valley has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

A robust renter share of 24% in 38042 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. robust returns are possible in 38042, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Hickory Valley:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 67/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.6× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+9.5%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,062/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Memphis, TN-MS-AR Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
68 days
Average time to sell
Slow
10.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Memphis, TN-MS-AR metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$212K$200K$189K$178K$167K$156KFeb 2022May 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 38042 Compare?

Metric 38042 Hickory Valley Memphis, TN-MS-AR Tennessee
Home Value $207,745 $207,745 N/A $327,001
5-Year CAGR N/A N/A N/A 7.7%
Avg Rent $1,062 $1,062 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.0% 4.0% - -
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 38042 (Hickory Valley, TN). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
4.0%
Low

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $207,745
Monthly Rent $1,062
Price-to-Rent 16.3:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.1%
Cap Rate 4.0%
5-Year IRR 11.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +9.5% ▲
3-Year CAGR +7.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR N/A
10-Year CAGR N/A

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

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⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
5.5%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
N/A
Stable
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 38042

Population: 451

💰 Median Household Income
$45,329
This area
$45,329
State
$60,881
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
23.8%
This area
23.8%
State
25.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
13.2%
This area
13.2%
State
-22.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
19.2%
This area
19.2%
State
-6.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
53.8 years
This area
53.8 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
5.5%
This area
5.5%
State
15.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 83.8%
Black/African American 13.6%
Other/Mixed 2.6%
👶 Under 18
7.6%
This area
7.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
27.2%
This area
27.2%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
0.5%
This area
0.5%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Hickory Valley, TN a good market for FHA house hackers?

Hickory Valley, TN offers a challenging house-hacking opportunity. Small multifamily or rent-by-the-room plays can pair well with the $1,062/mo rent level.

Is it easy to find good tenants in Hickory Valley, TN?

The renter base in Hickory Valley, TN is reasonable for the $1,062/mo price point. Screening well and pricing to market typically yields even-keeled tenants.

What investment strategy works best in Hickory Valley, TN?

In Hickory Valley, TN the impressive play is typically careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The combination of $208K prices and $1,062/mo rents suits that approach.

How does Hickory Valley, TN rate as a rental market?

Hickory Valley, TN rates 2.0/5 for investability. With median values at $208K and rents near $1,062/mo, the market offers reasonable fundamentals for rental investors.

What is it like being a landlord in Hickory Valley, TN?

TN law landlord-friendly for landlords, and Hickory Valley inherits those rules. Investors should still review local ordinances for rental licensing.

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How 38042 ranks in Memphis, TN-MS-AR

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable → 1% Rule →
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