Real Estate Investing in Grand Junction, Tennessee (38039)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Hardeman County • Population: 1,377 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 38039 (Grand Junction, TN)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (43/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (38/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 22.9% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Grand Junction, TN (38039)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

0.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $158,328
Avg Monthly Rent $954
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $40,263
% Renters 24.8%

Market Analysis: 38039 Grand Junction

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Grand Junction's 38039 ZIP comes in at signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $158K pricing implies.

Rent of $954/mo on a $158K basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 38039 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.

The gap between 38039 and stronger Grand Junction ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

A substantial renter share of 25% in 38039 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

The 38039 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Grand Junction:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 72/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.9× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+9.7%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $954/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Memphis, TN-MS-AR Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
68 days
Average time to sell
Slow
10.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Memphis, TN-MS-AR metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$161K$153K$145K$137K$128K$120KFeb 2022May 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 38039 Compare?

Metric 38039 Grand Junction Memphis, TN-MS-AR Tennessee
Home Value $158,328 $158,328 N/A $327,001
5-Year CAGR N/A N/A N/A 7.7%
Avg Rent $954 $954 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.7% 4.7% - -
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 38039 (Grand Junction, TN). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
4.7%
Fair

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $158,328
Monthly Rent $954
Price-to-Rent 13.8:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 7.2%
Cap Rate 4.7%
5-Year IRR 11.0%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +9.7% ▲
3-Year CAGR +6.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR N/A
10-Year CAGR N/A

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.7%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.7%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
22.9%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
N/A
Stable
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 38039

Population: 1,377

💰 Median Household Income
$40,263
This area
$40,263
State
$60,881
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
24.8%
This area
24.8%
State
25.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.0%
This area
4.0%
State
-22.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
10.3%
This area
10.3%
State
-6.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
42.4 years
This area
42.4 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
22.9%
This area
22.9%
State
15.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
Black/African American 78.5%
White 20.0%
Other/Mixed 1.5%
Hispanic/Latino 0.1%
👶 Under 18
20.7%
This area
20.7%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
22.3%
This area
22.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
15.8%
This area
15.8%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 38039

B+ Avg School Grade
1 Schools
11.8:1 Avg Class Size
$12,112 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Grand Junction Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
159 Students
👨‍🏫
11.8:1 Class Size
💰
$12,112 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much does a house cost in Grand Junction, TN?

In Grand Junction, TN the median home value sits at $158K. Against the broader TN market, that reads as reasonable for most investors.

What is the rental occupancy rate in Grand Junction, TN?

Occupancy in Grand Junction, TN runs stable with elevated vacancy. Well-priced units at $954/mo lease on reasonable timelines.

Is the tenant base reliable in Grand Junction, TN?

Tenant demand in Grand Junction, TN is solid. The local workforce $954/mo rents across most rental classes.

How viable is house hacking in Grand Junction, TN?

House hacking in Grand Junction, TN is a challenging. With home values around $158K and rents at $954/mo, owner-occupants can offset a meaningful share of PITI.

What is it like being a landlord in Grand Junction, TN?

TN law landlord-friendly for landlords, and Grand Junction inherits those rules. Investors should still review local ordinances for rental licensing.

You know 38039 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 38039 ranks in Memphis, TN-MS-AR

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable → 1% Rule →
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