Real Estate Investing in Dundee, Florida (33838)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Polk County • Population: 5,431 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 33838 (Dundee, FL)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (52/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 20.5% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Elevated poverty: 22.0% poverty rate — can affect rent collection.

What’s happening in Dundee, FL (33838)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $268,684
Avg Monthly Rent $1,964
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $49,118
% Renters 28.5%

Market Analysis: 33838 Dundee

Investors eyeing 33838 need to respect the fundamentals at play. Home values of $269K come alongside slower price movement and elevated management overhead.

Rent of $1,964/mo on a $269K basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 33838 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.

Regionally, 33838 sits on the difficult end of the FL spectrum. The a credible choice for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

Employment concentration in 33838 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

New investors are better served looking at Dundee's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 33838. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Dundee:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 62/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
9/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.5× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-2.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,964/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
81 days
Average time to sell
Slow
9.3%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 33838

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
6.8% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+6.9% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$76,180/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $165,144 $1,550 6.8% +6.6% $82,572
3BR $265,341 $2,090 5.7% +6.9% $88,447
4BR $304,718 $2,600 6.1% +6.7% $76,180

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$314K$261K$208K$155K$102K$49KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,066$2,039$2,011$1,983$1,956$1,928Feb 2026Apr 2026Jun 2026

📊 How Does 33838 Compare?

Metric 33838 Dundee Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL Florida
Home Value $268,684 $268,684 N/A $374,697
5-Year CAGR 3.8% 3.8% N/A 7.4%
Avg Rent $1,964 $1,964 N/A -
Cap Rate 5.7% 5.7% - -
💡 Why Invest in 33838? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 33838 (Dundee, FL). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Polk County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

All County Polk is a full-service residential property management company in Lakeland, FL, serving Lakeland and surrounding areas in Polk County. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Paragon Property Services, LLC offers full-service home inspection services in Central Florida, including Lake, Sumter, Seminole, Orange, Osceola, Polk, Pasco, Hernando, Hillsborough, Volusia, and Cit summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

PMI Arrico Realty and Property Management offers residential property management, investment services, and real estate services in Lakeland, FL. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
5.7%
Fair
5yr Growth
+3.8%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $268,684
Monthly Rent $1,964
Price-to-Rent 11.4:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 8.8%
Cap Rate 5.7%
5-Year IRR 9.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -2.4% ▼
3-Year CAGR -2.3% ▼
5-Year CAGR +3.8% ▲
10-Year CAGR +8.4% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 5.7%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (5.7%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
20.5%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.8%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 33838

Population: 5,431

💰 Median Household Income
$49,118
This area
$49,118
State
$70,737
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
28.5%
This area
28.5%
State
29.9%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.1%
This area
0.1%
State
-18.0%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
5.8%
This area
5.8%
State
4.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
32.3 years
This area
32.3 years
State
16.0 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
20.5%
This area
20.5%
State
17.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
Other/Mixed 40.5%
Hispanic/Latino 38.2%
White 37.7%
Black/African American 19.4%
Asian 2.3%
👶 Under 18
26.4%
This area
26.4%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
13.6%
This area
13.6%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
22.0%
This area
22.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 33838

B Avg School Grade
3 Schools
14.1:1 Avg Class Size
$12,580 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

DUNDEE ELEMENTARY ACADEMY

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
636 Students
👨‍🏫
16.7:1 Class Size
💰
$12,580 Per Student
B Good

DUNDEE RIDGE MIDDLE ACADEMY

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
723 Students
👨‍🏫
19.5:1 Class Size
💰
$12,580 Per Student
C+ Average

DON E WOODS OPPORTUNITY CENTER

📚 06 – 12 High School
👥
65 Students
👨‍🏫
5.9:1 Class Size
💰
$12,580 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

5 Nearby 1,091 Off-Campus Students
C+
Ruben's Five Star Academy
11 students · 4.4 mi
C
Ridge Technical College
375 students · 4.9 mi
C
Polk State College
7,963 students · 6.3 mi
D
Webber International University
930 students · 13.3 mi
C
Warner University
891 students · 13.3 mi

Investor Insight: With 1,091 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Are homes affordable in Dundee, FL?

Dundee, FL median home values land near $269K. That is reasonable territory for investors looking at $1,964/mo-per-month rentals.

Is real estate in Dundee, FL a good investment right now?

Dundee, FL scores 3.0/5 for investability. Home values sit at $269K and rents near $1,964/mo, which keeps the rent-to-price ratio in reasonable territory for buy-and-hold investors.

What is the renter demographic in Dundee, FL?

Dundee, FL offers a stable renter base at the $1,964/mo rent level. Tenant turnover is reasonable for well-managed properties.

Are eviction rules reasonable in Dundee, FL?

Dundee, FL falls under FL landlord-tenant law, which is landlord-friendly. That backdrop makes day-to-day property management reasonable.

Should investors worry about vacancy in Dundee, FL?

Vacancy in Dundee, FL is elevated, which keeps landlord downtime on reasonable timelines. Most properties lease within the standard window at $1,964/mo.

You know 33838 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 33838 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 33838 ranks in Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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