Real Estate Investing in Lenoir, North Carolina (28645)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Caldwell County • Population: 46,237 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 28645 (Lenoir, NC)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (64/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 12.8% of homes vacant — above national norms.

What’s happening in Lenoir, NC (28645)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $220,514
Avg Monthly Rent $1,180
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $49,136
% Renters 27.1%

Market Analysis: 28645 Lenoir

Investors eyeing 28645 need to respect the fundamentals at play. Home values of $221K come alongside slower price movement and elevated management overhead.

From a cash-flow lens, the numbers look inviting — $221K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 28645 is substantial and deserves full respect.

In the broader NC picture, 28645 is a reminder that not every low-priced ZIP is a value-add opportunity — some are simply distressed, and the difference matters.

Employment concentration in 28645 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

The right play in 28645 usually involves deep tenant screening, aggressive delinquency response, and a conservative capex buffer. Anything less, and the discount can turn into a trap.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Lenoir:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 71/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.5× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+5.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,180/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
9.2%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 28645

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
5.5% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
1BR
+9.5% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$74,953/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $171,153 $910 3.8% +9.5% $171,153
2BR $149,906 $1,150 5.5% +8.9% $74,953
3BR $241,361 $1,400 4.2% +8.3% $80,454
4BR $365,409 $1,930 3.8% +8.5% $91,352
5BR $436,868 +8.4% $87,374

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$234K$202K$170K$138K$106K$73KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,224$1,205$1,185$1,166$1,147$1,127Dec 2025Apr 2026Jul 2026

📊 How Does 28645 Compare?

Metric 28645 Lenoir Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC North Carolina
Home Value $220,514 $220,514 N/A $330,565
5-Year CAGR 5.8% 5.8% N/A 7.8%
Avg Rent $1,180 $1,180 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.2% 4.2% - -
💡 Why Invest in 28645? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 28645 (Lenoir, NC). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.2%
Fair
5yr Growth
+5.8%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $220,514
Monthly Rent $1,180
Price-to-Rent 15.6:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.4%
Cap Rate 4.2%
5-Year IRR 9.9%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +5.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.4% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.8% ▲
10-Year CAGR +8.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.2%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.2%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
12.8%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.8%
Stable
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 28645

Population: 46,237

💰 Median Household Income
$49,136
This area
$49,136
State
$63,256
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
27.1%
This area
27.1%
State
27.8%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.3%
This area
3.3%
State
-19.3%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
16.2%
This area
16.2%
State
0.5%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
45.5 years
This area
45.5 years
State
6.5 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
12.8%
This area
12.8%
State
19.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 84.5%
Other/Mixed 8.4%
Black/African American 6.4%
Hispanic/Latino 6.1%
Asian 0.6%
👶 Under 18
19.2%
This area
19.2%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
21.2%
This area
21.2%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
9.3%
This area
9.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 28645

B Avg School Grade
14 Schools
13.2:1 Avg Class Size
$12,314 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Whitnel Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
267 Students
👨‍🏫
11.8:1 Class Size
💰
$12,314 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Davenport A+ School

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
446 Students
👨‍🏫
13.6:1 Class Size
💰
$12,314 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Gamewell Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
486 Students
👨‍🏫
14.7:1 Class Size
💰
$12,314 Per Student
B+ Above Average

West Caldwell High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
687 Students
👨‍🏫
14.5:1 Class Size
💰
$12,314 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Kings Creek Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
148 Students
👨‍🏫
10.8:1 Class Size
💰
$12,314 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Happy Valley Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
223 Students
👨‍🏫
13.3:1 Class Size
💰
$12,314 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Valmead Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
275 Students
👨‍🏫
12.7:1 Class Size
💰
$12,314 Per Student
B Good

Gamewell Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
519 Students
👨‍🏫
15.1:1 Class Size
💰
$12,314 Per Student
B Good

Lower Creek Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
383 Students
👨‍🏫
15.2:1 Class Size
💰
$12,314 Per Student
B Good

William Lenoir Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
514 Students
👨‍🏫
15.8:1 Class Size
💰
$12,314 Per Student
B Good

Caldwell Online Academy

📚 04 – 12 High School
👥
151 Students
👨‍🏫
13.7:1 Class Size
💰
$12,314 Per Student
B Good

Hibriten High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
811 Students
👨‍🏫
15.7:1 Class Size
💰
$12,314 Per Student
C+ Average

Oak Hill Charter School

📚 K – 08 School Charter
👥
207 Students
👨‍🏫
16.4:1 Class Size
C+ Average

Horizons Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
29 Students
👨‍🏫
2.1:1 Class Size
💰
$12,314 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby 1,486 Off-Campus Students
C
Caldwell Community College and Technical Institute
3,764 students · 9.1 mi

Investor Insight: With 1,486 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the average monthly rent in Lenoir, NC?

Rent in Lenoir, NC is around $1,180/mo. The resulting rent-to-value relationship with $221K pricing is reasonable for most investor models.

How do landlord-tenant laws work in Lenoir, NC?

NC law landlord-friendly for landlords, and Lenoir inherits those rules. Investors should still review local ordinances for rental licensing.

Does Lenoir, NC make sense for an investment property?

With a 3.0/5 investability score, Lenoir, NC ranks as a solid market for rental property investors. Median prices of $221K and rents of $1,180/mo drive the underlying numbers.

Can I house hack in Lenoir, NC?

Lenoir, NC offers a challenging house-hacking opportunity. Small multifamily or rent-by-the-room plays can pair well with the $1,180/mo rent level.

What strategy should investors use in Lenoir, NC?

Investors usually favor careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management in Lenoir, NC. With home values at $221K and rents near $1,180/mo, other strategies can work but produce consistent rather than outsized returns.

You know 28645 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 28645 ranks in Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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