Real Estate Investing in Round Top, Texas (78954)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Fayette County • Population: 1,378 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 78954 (Round Top, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (36/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • High vacancy: 43.3% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • 1-year downturn: Values declined 4.4% in the last year.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 85.8 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Round Top, TX (78954)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $1,139,322
Avg Monthly Rent $1,107
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $97,857
% Renters 6.7%

Market Analysis: 78954 Round Top

In practical terms, ZIP 78954 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $1.1M median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $1.1M asset, 78954 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

Regionally, 78954 sits on the difficult end of the TX spectrum. The a viable market for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

Resident income in 78954 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. significant returns are possible in 78954, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Round Top:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 48/100
Affordability
0/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 11.6× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-4.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,107/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$1.3M$1.1M$873K$661K$448K$236KJun 2009Jan 2018Jul 2026

📊 How Does 78954 Compare?

Metric 78954 Round Top Texas
Home Value $1,139,322 $1,139,322 $297,000
5-Year CAGR 4.1% 4.1% 5.4%
Avg Rent $1,107 $1,107 -
Cap Rate 0.8% 0.8% -
💡 Why Invest in 78954? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 78954 (Round Top, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
0.8%
Low
5yr Growth
+4.1%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $1,139,322
Monthly Rent $1,107
Price-to-Rent 85.8:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 1.2%
Cap Rate 0.8%
5-Year IRR 4.9%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -4.4% ▼
3-Year CAGR +1.1% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.1% ▲
10-Year CAGR +9.3% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 0.8%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (0.8%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
43.3%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.1%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 78954

Population: 1,378

💰 Median Household Income
$97,857
This area
$97,857
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
6.7%
This area
6.7%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.6%
This area
1.6%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
40.8%
This area
40.8%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
55.8 years
This area
55.8 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
43.3%
This area
43.3%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 95.1%
Other/Mixed 3.8%
Hispanic/Latino 1.9%
Black/African American 0.6%
Asian 0.6%
👶 Under 18
19.0%
This area
19.0%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
30.8%
This area
30.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
2.0%
This area
2.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 78954

A Avg School Grade
1 Schools
11.9:1 Avg Class Size
$19,743 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

ROUND TOP-CARMINE EL

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
128 Students
👨‍🏫
11.9:1 Class Size
💰
$19,743 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Round Top in TX worth investing in?

The 3.0/5 investability rating in Round Top, TX reflects its $1.1M prices and $1,107/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within TX.

Is rental property easy to operate in Round Top, TX?

Round Top, TX falls under TX landlord-tenant law, which is landlord-friendly. That backdrop makes day-to-day property management reasonable.

What investment strategy works best in Round Top, TX?

The best-fit strategy in Round Top, TX is careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. That approach the rent and price profile of the market.

What is the renter demographic in Round Top, TX?

The tenant pool in Round Top, TX is solid, supported by local employment and population fundamentals. Rents of $1,107/mo are well-absorbed by the market.

What do landlords charge for rent in Round Top, TX?

Average rent in Round Top, TX is approximately $1,107/mo per month. Against $1.1M home values that yields a reasonable rent-to-price ratio.

You know 78954 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 78954 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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