Real Estate Investing in Carsonville, Michigan (48419)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Sanilac County • Population: 2,309 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 48419 (Carsonville, MI)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (53/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 24.3% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Carsonville, MI (48419)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $212,487
Avg Monthly Rent $981
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $56,898
% Renters 12.3%

Market Analysis: 48419 Carsonville

ZIP 48419 in Carsonville, MI carries a significant set of headwinds. Home values near $212K and rents of $981/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

For an experienced owner, 48419 can be a a solid fit for hunting ground — but the discount at $212K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

Within MI, ZIP 48419 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Sanilac County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and notable enough to shape underwriting.

Employment concentration in 48419 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

Strategically, 48419 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Carsonville:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 59/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.7× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+10.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $981/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$224K$192K$160K$128K$96K$64KJan 2012May 2019Jul 2026

📊 How Does 48419 Compare?

Metric 48419 Carsonville Michigan
Home Value $212,487 $212,487 $253,279
5-Year CAGR 2.7% 2.7% 6.8%
Avg Rent $981 $981 -
Cap Rate 3.6% 3.6% -
💡 Why Invest in 48419? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 48419 (Carsonville, MI). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.6%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.7%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $212,487
Monthly Rent $981
Price-to-Rent 18.1:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.5%
Cap Rate 3.6%
5-Year IRR 6.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +10.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +1.7% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.7% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.0% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.6%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
24.3%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.7%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 48419

Population: 2,309

💰 Median Household Income
$56,898
This area
$56,898
State
$68,013
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
12.3%
This area
12.3%
State
19.4%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.4%
This area
3.4%
State
-2.8%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
15.4%
This area
15.4%
State
16.5%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
46.0 years
This area
46.0 years
State
36.1 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
24.3%
This area
24.3%
State
20.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 94.4%
Other/Mixed 5.2%
Hispanic/Latino 2.6%
Asian 0.3%
Black/African American 0.1%
👶 Under 18
20.5%
This area
20.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
25.4%
This area
25.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
3.3%
This area
3.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 48419

C+ Avg School Grade
3 Schools
21.6:1 Avg Class Size
$14,747 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

CarsonvillePort Sanilac Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
183 Students
👨‍🏫
16.2:1 Class Size
💰
$14,747 Per Student
B Good

CarsonvillePort Sanilac HS

📚 06 – 12 High School
👥
171 Students
👨‍🏫
20.0:1 Class Size
💰
$14,747 Per Student
D Needs Improvement

CarsonvillePort Sanilac Learning Center

📚 06 – 12 High School
👥
54 Students
👨‍🏫
28.6:1 Class Size
💰
$14,747 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

How should investors approach Carsonville, MI?

Most investors in Carsonville, MI run a careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy. It aligns with the 3.0/5 investability profile and the market fundamentals.

How much rent can I charge in Carsonville, MI?

Rents in Carsonville, MI run near $981/mo. Compared with median home prices of $212K that produces solid gross yields for typical rentals.

Are there empty rentals in Carsonville, MI?

Vacancy in Carsonville, MI is elevated, which keeps landlord downtime on reasonable timelines. Most properties lease within the standard window at $981/mo.

Is rental property easy to operate in Carsonville, MI?

Landlord-friendliness in Carsonville, MI is landlord-friendly. Eviction timelines and lease enforcement are considered reasonable by most property managers.

How qualified is the tenant pool in Carsonville, MI?

The tenant pool in Carsonville, MI is solid, supported by local employment and population fundamentals. Rents of $981/mo are well-absorbed by the market.

You know 48419 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 48419 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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