Real Estate Investing in Tunica, Mississippi (38676)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Tunica County • Population: 5,318 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 38676 (Tunica, MS)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (54/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
4 flags
  • High vacancy: 15.9% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Flat appreciation: Values have barely moved over 5 years (0.7% CAGR).
  • Higher unemployment: 10.7% unemployment — tenant risk signal.
  • Lower household income: $37,880 median — tenant affordability is tighter.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Tunica, MS (38676)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $145,228
Avg Monthly Rent $1,008
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $37,880
% Renters 48.6%

Market Analysis: 38676 Tunica

This part of Tunica County is not an easy win. The 38676 ZIP reflects softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

The 38676 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

Regionally, 38676 sits on the difficult end of the MS spectrum. The a strong candidate for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

Resident income in 38676 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

New investors are better served looking at Tunica's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 38676. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Tunica:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 59/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
10/25
Stability
9/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.8× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+6.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,008/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Memphis, TN-MS-AR Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
68 days
Average time to sell
Slow
10.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Memphis, TN-MS-AR metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 38676

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
6.9% cap rate
Best Overall Value
3BR
$46,556/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
3BR $139,667 $1,340 6.9% $46,556
4BR $196,391 $1,480 5.4% $49,098

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$164K$153K$142K$131K$120K$109KFeb 2016May 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 38676 Compare?

Metric 38676 Tunica Memphis, TN-MS-AR Mississippi
Home Value $145,228 $145,228 N/A $186,446
5-Year CAGR 0.7% 0.7% N/A 4.0%
Avg Rent $1,008 $1,008 N/A -
Cap Rate 5.4% 5.4% - -
💡 Why Invest in 38676? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 49% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 38676 (Tunica, MS). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
5.4%
Fair
5yr Growth
+0.7%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $145,228
Monthly Rent $1,008
Price-to-Rent 12.0:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 8.3%
Cap Rate 5.4%
5-Year IRR 6.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +6.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR -0.3% ▼
5-Year CAGR +0.7% ▲
10-Year CAGR +1.6% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 5.4%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (5.4%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
15.9%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+0.7%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 38676

Population: 5,318

💰 Median Household Income
$37,880
This area
$37,880
State
$48,827
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
48.6%
This area
48.6%
State
27.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
10.7%
This area
10.7%
State
-17.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
14.6%
This area
14.6%
State
-11.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
37.2 years
This area
37.2 years
State
10.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
15.9%
This area
15.9%
State
18.7%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
Black/African American 81.4%
White 18.5%
Hispanic/Latino 0.1%
Other/Mixed 0.1%
👶 Under 18
26.4%
This area
26.4%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
14.1%
This area
14.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
18.1%
This area
18.1%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 38676

B+ Avg School Grade
5 Schools
12.6:1 Avg Class Size
$15,968 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

ROSA FORT HIGH SCHOOL

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
455 Students
👨‍🏫
11.9:1 Class Size
💰
$15,968 Per Student
A Very Good

TUNICA ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
321 Students
👨‍🏫
13.7:1 Class Size
💰
$15,968 Per Student
A Very Good

TUNICA MIDDLE SCHOOL

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
362 Students
👨‍🏫
12.4:1 Class Size
💰
$15,968 Per Student
C+ Average

DAVID WILLIAMS JR CAREER &TECH CNT

📚 09 – 12 High School Limited Data
💰
$15,968 Per Student
C Below Average

TCS ALTERNATIVE SCHOOL

📚 06 – 12 High School Limited Data
💰
$15,968 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

How expensive is real estate in Tunica, MS?

Homes in Tunica, MS typically sell near $145K. Prices have moved at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, which reliable long-term demand.

Is rental property easy to operate in Tunica, MS?

MS law landlord-friendly for landlords, and Tunica inherits those rules. Investors should still review local ordinances for rental licensing.

What is the renter demographic in Tunica, MS?

The renter base in Tunica, MS is reasonable for the $1,008/mo price point. Screening well and pricing to market typically yields consistent tenants.

Can owner-occupants cash flow in Tunica, MS?

House hacking in Tunica, MS is a challenging. With home values around $145K and rents at $1,008/mo, owner-occupants can offset a meaningful share of PITI.

What kind of vacancy should I budget for in Tunica, MS?

Expect elevated vacancy in Tunica, MS. Rents at $1,008/mo are absorbed by the tenant base without meaningful lag.

You know 38676 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 38676 ranks in Memphis, TN-MS-AR

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable → 1% Rule →
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