Real Estate Investing in Ashland, New York (12407)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Greene County • Population: 197 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 12407 (Ashland, NY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (41/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • High vacancy: 12.2% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 34.0 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Ashland, NY (12407)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $414,908
Avg Monthly Rent $1,017
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $61,875
% Renters 25.6%

Market Analysis: 12407 Ashland

Investors eyeing 12407 need to respect the fundamentals at play. Home values of $415K come alongside slower price movement and elevated management overhead.

For an experienced owner, 12407 can be a a credible choice for hunting ground — but the discount at $415K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

The gap between 12407 and stronger Ashland ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

The demographic picture in 12407 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Ashland averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

The right play in 12407 usually involves deep tenant screening, aggressive delinquency response, and a conservative capex buffer. Anything less, and the discount can turn into a trap.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Ashland:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 57/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 6.7× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+8.7%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,017/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$436K$380K$324K$267K$211K$155KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 12407 Compare?

Metric 12407 Ashland New York
Home Value $414,908 $414,908 $505,608
5-Year CAGR 6.3% 6.3% 6.6%
Avg Rent $1,017 $1,017 -
Cap Rate 1.9% 1.9% -
💡 Why Invest in 12407? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 12407 (Ashland, NY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
1.9%
Low
5yr Growth
+6.3%
Strong

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $414,908
Monthly Rent $1,017
Price-to-Rent 34.0:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 2.9%
Cap Rate 1.9%
5-Year IRR 8.2%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +8.7% ▲
3-Year CAGR +5.8% ▲
5-Year CAGR +6.3% ▲
10-Year CAGR +8.3% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 1.9%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (1.9%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
12.2%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+6.3%
Growing
Eviction process: Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 12407

Population: 197

💰 Median Household Income
$61,875
This area
$61,875
State
$86,376
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
25.6%
This area
25.6%
State
26.4%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
-24.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
7.9%
This area
7.9%
State
4.2%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
43.8 years
This area
43.8 years
State
7.4 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
12.2%
This area
12.2%
State
19.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 98.5%
Black/African American 1.5%
👶 Under 18
13.6%
This area
13.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
32.6%
This area
32.6%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

How expensive is real estate in Ashland, NY?

In Ashland, NY the median home value sits at $415K. Against the broader NY market, that reads as reasonable for most investors.

What is it like being a landlord in Ashland, NY?

The landlord environment in Ashland, NY is tenant-protective. Statewide rules shape most day-to-day operations for rental owners.

What is the typical renter like in Ashland, NY?

The renter base in Ashland, NY is reasonable for the $1,017/mo price point. Screening well and pricing to market typically yields steady tenants.

What kind of vacancy should I budget for in Ashland, NY?

Rental vacancy in Ashland, NY is elevated. Investors should budget normal turnover but not chronic empty units.

What investment strategy works best in Ashland, NY?

Investors usually favor careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management in Ashland, NY. With home values at $415K and rents near $1,017/mo, other strategies can work but produce predictable rather than outsized returns.

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